_ms_izzy - 🎬ms-izzy-live

A transcript session was started ⁨4/19/2026 2:21 PM⁩.

Hey everyone.

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OK, so.

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some a few things here, I think that this is pretty calculated for starters. I think the most simplified way of looking at this is, you can see that they kind of kept it in between right? Right?

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held above 78.

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148.

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David Benet.

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71 88 71 92 does that make sense?

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So were they pinned us on Friday? I think was pretty calculated because it kind of gave us basically an odd of staying right in between because on either way that you look at this, like they, we both knew that they had to break one end or the other in order to get.

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Like the full continuation, like probably closer to like two points above.

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like even off the 9-2 range, okay? So, I think for starters, like this, to me, makes sense, is...

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and it's funny because it's exactly what we talked about in real-time on Friday, um, or two points beneath, because we knew that if they broke beneath the 51 area, they could come back, back test, 4-8, 4-9 and that's kind of what would create this kind of volatility or even back to, like, the pre-market highs, or

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the fact that they, and let me just...

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Move this down here so you guys can see that and maybe move.

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this here.

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Okay, so either or and just kind of is relevant to wait the way you want to look at it or.

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to the actually like channel spot, which is like roughly 49. Okay, so either 49 or 8-8.

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870. Does that make sense? It's like they held it just above. When I looked at it from a wider stance too, off the report, you guys remember this right here?

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on.

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Bye!

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Just give me one second.

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Where is it?

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here.

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which my screen.

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Can you guys see that?

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us.

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Remember how this was closely tied to the core ranges?

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Okay, off the 14th.

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I'm just gonna give you guys a quick, quick refresher before the market opens. So remember how we decided that these areas, here.

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Okay.

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and 15th were directly tied to core ratios.

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Just going to I'm giving you guys just a reminder just so that you guys don't forget because that's kind of how we came to the conclusion that those areas could become pitiful.

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So let's go back and take a look at the ranges. So if that's the case,

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And you guys do this on your screens too, so that you're aware, okay? If that's the case...

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And we already knew this was 70, 57, 758.

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Were these pinnable spots for us, do you guys think?

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especially like

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They're in the report a bunch of times, but we're just going to.

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Yes, right. So.

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The 6991 Halls right here, 704, we already talked about the 17 point reductions, but generally speaking was 70, 57, 58 and 70, 78 and 77 are these calculated spots, these areas here.

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And they're obviously our core ranges, okay?

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If we look at those areas from open clothes and these are also like the 15th 16th extensions. So of course they matter.

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and whatever way you want to look at it, whether you're using the 13th range directly to here, that's the 300 points that we've been talking about, and you can kind of see the 320, 222 point extension once they broke 70, 89.

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and kind of brought it to this range in here. So and you can't really tell too, too much, but...

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This is essentially like them holding it above here.

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Okay, like you see when they kind of pushed it right here and never kind of brought it back, that was basically them keeping this above a 346 point interval from.

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The-

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way intervals that we've been talking about, does that make sense?

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like off these ranges in here.

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Okay, so and we've hit a total of 832 points.

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For instance,

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And we've talked about this on the report quite a bit. So from a wider range, we could still keep using these big thoughts, but from a shorter frame, I would definitely still keep measuring these areas in here. Okay, so like,

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and I want you guys to know how to do this on your own without me having to, to honestly remind you. So if these areas were calculated, so kind of like what we talked

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What areas would be very pinnable?

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16th

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Specifically from from this, okay, because we already knew that the 15th

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is clearly correlated to the 17th ahead of the 20th flip. So there is an extension from the 15th to the 17th and like weekly range. So which areas are pinnable? It's not max range.

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And you can see where they stalled, this is pretty crazy because if they wanted to keep extending, how many points would they have broken here?

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and try to answer the questions guys, because I have to finish the report. I really wanna get it up the report. So, how many points will they have had to have broken here?

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using base theory.

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from open to highs.

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Don't make me start picking names because I'll do it if no one answers because I only have like 10 minutes that I can stream before putting this out.

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Pondrid?

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Eddie, no.

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Okay, from the close to the high, so technically speaking, how many points with this have realistically had to keep breaking?

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Okay, took and be considered an expansion type scenario.

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No, you guys, how many points did that hit 127.5?

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and you normally break 34, 66, 68, 120 dot, dot, dot.

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120.

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It's literally right there.

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So, hello, how many points do you have to break usually to expand?

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Yeah, 128k, or between this range.

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which is technically times 2 is 256.

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Okay, you guys, these things you have to have memorized at this point. If you don't have these things memorized at this point, it's insane. To me, it's crazy if you guys do not have these things memorized yet. Okay, so, oh, I keep forgetting they have a new word. Okay, so do you see how they intentionally stole this from expanding here?

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Off this open close.

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And this was part of the report, but I'm gonna reiterate it one more time because I feel like some people just don't get this.

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range theory sometimes.

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So even if it doesn't extend...

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If it's not prepared to, what areas would be better ratios to keep it pinnable ads? You get what I'm saying?

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Okay, from an open closed high low ratio, whereas like 132 points, that would have triggered that 7190. Okay. So now everyone sees the expanded scenarios off these open closed ratios, correct? This is the 12832 point rate off-closed. Okay. So that being said, what would be the best areas then to pin it at? Okay. This is what makes it pinnable.

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Specific to the kind of range that we saw, which were core ratios right and core ranges So which areas would be the more preferred range that we want to pin it at? Don't think of it from a price perspective think of it from a ratio perspective Okay, this is what will alter like the way that you look at things when you think of it from a math approach and not the actual

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Um.

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price level. Does that make sense? So from a ratio perspective, which ratios then would you want to pin out?

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You can see from the 16, they hit 128.

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So, there is...

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75? No.

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You wanted it as at a 75 ratio is the same thing as you saying that you wanted to pin back at um

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7129. Okay, which is not bad, but you would be pinning at like a lower core ratio at that point, do you get what I'm saying? If you're pinning in 70 point ratios, and you want to go back to 7120s, that's what your answer says.

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Okay, do you get what I'm saying? So, what would give you the highest probability, which ratios if you're looking at it from that stance?

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32Y.

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Or at least keep odds relatively high. Okay, so remember when I was saying Friday, if they can't keep pushing, but they also don't sustain 71, 41, 51. I would much rather they take it back to 71, 22, 71.

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Because I don't want to stay stuck in the channel. I don't want to be at 713A71447148. But there's another reason why it's because those are not core ratios. Does that make sense?

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you guys from that sense, like technically speaking, going lower here, and that case would have been better than staying stuck here.

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Do you get what I mean?

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Yes, so which core ratios would you want? Give me the exact ratios.

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And it's crazy because nothing's not really pinned, but...

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considering we hit full ranges this past week, you probably wanna pin at max ratios, right? Exactly, so 103, 107, 110, 115. So did we get a core, even though this wasn't a core pin,

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67164 is not a core pin, but was it pinned at a core ratio in relevance to open closed ratios? Yes, okay, so this is what can keep your odds in play. Does that make sense, you guys? Like, I really wanted to summarize this quickly, just because I feel like there's a huge disconnect with a lot of you in here, and you guys have to get better at this. That's just, like, feedback from my end. Even if, even if you don't subscribe to the sub-stack in the future, just so that you can understand how price

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from the closing point and opening point, was that a coincidence?

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using this was a coincidence where they stalled here.

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is working and how it's moving, OK, and how open closed matters and why it's calculated. So was stalling at 128 points.

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No, OK, dumb pitting it back at a hundred seven point ratio. Was that a coincidence?

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No, okay. So these are all very calculated things that are kind of working in our favorite from a low perspective, which we haven't measured.

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to a high range, they technically broke 13220 points, okay? So from this perspective, 117, it's not quite high enough, okay?

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Thank you.

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What kind of conditions could you preset for this week? So let's kind of just we can start here. This is where I want you guys to get better.

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Yeah, I was one of those.

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Yada, the context of...

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Darling, so.

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I almost like the fact that people voted for 8-1 when we already were trading at 8-1, I was like, there's no way that you guys think that we're gonna stall 8-1. Before the Calculator times, like that, at the very least, they had odds of getting a 7-1-8-6.

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You know, kind of right. So what

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What kind of conditions do you guys think we could preset?

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At an absolute minimum, let's say.

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And think about it, so let's say 103 points. In this, this tinny makes total sense. This is from a low ratio. Let's maybe mark them in red.

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red is low, okay, maybe I need to start doing this. Maybe I need to start marking ratio as in a color format. So, from, uh,

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and then we can start marking open clothes as like white or something. Okay, so from an open closed ratio.

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Oh, it's...

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Okay.

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versus a high and a low, okay?

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what kind of areas would you prefer?

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Thank you.

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to open it. So from the absolute lowest ratio, which is the low ratio.

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Where would you want to open?

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Minimum, hey?

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Do you see what I'm saying? Which makes sense because you want to open above the channel and that would open above Friday's real time lows, right? Like between like the end of session because we kept stalling.

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So that would be your minimum condition that would give you at least an odd of getting does that make sense at that point if you can't open there you would want to gap a lot lower does that make sense back to the 71 2071 30s in

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And this kind of theory that would technically be better than opening at 7138 or 42 or 40 does that make sense. So that could be one of the first.

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100.

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conditions that you preset. Okay, like off the low ratio is is opening around there. So that that could technically make it a bit flat because like 107 points would be 71.53. Okay.

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10 would make us 71.56.

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You see how on Friday, real to, I didn't get a chance to really go over this. But do you see how on Friday?

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Where they were holding those real-time intercession lows?

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We're extremely calculated core ratios to the 16th loads. I need you guys to understand this. Do you see how these areas are correlated to the 16th loads from a core ratio, OK? So look at this.

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Do you see it now? Like, I wanna make sure that you guys actually understand these things. Like without, like, it is really that calculated. It's, it's pretty crazy. So then you can actually start seeing it for yourself. So, okay, that would be our minimum conditions. Okay, perfect. We got our minimum conditions set. What would be a better odd?

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Obviously it offloads like probably the 128 okay that would make sense because that would give you

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At least getting odds of 7-4, which is what you need to break, right? That would give you the highest odd of avoiding back testing the lows from the 16th, okay?

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of the 132 point break.

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which would be like 71.

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Okay.

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28.

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And lately market's been working like the 100.

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35 but we'll worry about that after but that'll also give you a pretty good odd because then that way

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your back basically are the ratios that you stole. Okay, so what about from an open closed ratio, which.

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I would say it's fairly important, okay? So for starters,

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Okay, off of the high range.

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You'd probably have some confluence there. Obviously the best case scenario is gonna be opening above 71.86, right? Because that's gonna give you the highest odds of getting those zone entries zone breaks. Like this is, this is pretty straightforward, I think. Like these opens right here are pretty straightforward, right? Off the opening range is opening closer to there.

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Okay, are you guys listening off of the high range, all market and green?

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This is like the closer to the 71 92 93.

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Friday session.

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Do you see what I'm saying?

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Okay.

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What would be a-

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secondary area to open it. So if you're not opening off the high ratio,

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Okay, or...?

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off this open ratio. You can kind of see same idea, this would be.

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71.89.

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Okay, this is off.

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on things lowest.

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Okay, after 757.

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You get what I'm saying?

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What else is that? Just based on just generic theory. What are these areas?

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What would these areas be?

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71, 92, 71, 89, 71, 87, what are these areas? And this is...

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I know that the theory works because it makes sense because these are the open closed high flows ratio and this theory is supposed to help you link these two things, okay? What areas are these guys?

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James, Joey, what are these areas? 7188, 7198.

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92.7189

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No, they're not core.

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and this is where there's confluence here too, because like the 107 point ranges, 103, they at least give you the highest odds of getting at least an upper core break, okay? So like, 70, 78 is linked to year.

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Yeah, zone entry, exactly. So from this range here off open close, its 103 point ratio is linked to year. So 70, 78, 103 points is linked to 71, 78, 71, 81, sorry. 0.75, okay?

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Do you see how you get like upper core ratios here? So this really makes it.

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a lot easier to get like these.

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These better breaks, right? So like same thing, 107 points.

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Probably links to upper court ratios.

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Okay, so 71 85 is also linked to this.

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Okay, and you could imagine.

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same thing with like 110.

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there's probably about eight.

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Okay.

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103.

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is linked to that 70, 78.25, that's 107 points, so this is

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107.

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What would the max range be?

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So, what would the most calculated area be? It makes sense. That's why this would be the best area to open up.

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115, right? So 71.93. Do you see where the conference starts getting pretty high?

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Okay, so

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I know for a fact that these areas become extremely calculations.

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Okay, do you see what I'm saying you guys like this is I'm trying to get you guys to correlate the these things between open closed highs lows It is

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I think it's a pretty important aspect to try understanding and trading, okay? And these areas are not going to be that far off, like the 17th clothes and highs, like they are going to be very close because there are only like 1 point difference, okay? So 115 is going to be 192.25, okay? Off-70-70-70-70.

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You can basically just subtract one point from all of these because it's the same thing, okay? So if we take this

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And subtract one point, it's going to be basically the exact same thing.

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Does that make sense?

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And this is off the opening range from.

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from what?

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The 17th, which is like the date that this extended rate.

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So 7-1-80.

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7184.

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7187-7192.

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That's from an open closed ratio. From the lows, we can decide that same idea, these areas here would be the best, best areas to open. It's pretty common sense that obviously 71.80 is the best area to open, correct? 71.80 is the 90s.

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and even from the report, the last thing I noted was that those areas could.

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Obviously, give you those extensions, right?

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Hopefully this helps you guys understand this a bit better and I'm running out of time so I want to finish this up quickly so

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and I mentioned if this was one of the final notes I noted on the report, but now you guys can see why I said that, okay?

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That I'm just giving you as I go full rundown, I didn't have time to fully give you guys the rundown on on Thursday or Wednesday, but the rundown. So.

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That's how we have the minimum ratios, okay? So, obviously off the open clothes from the 70, 57, 58.

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If they push us, 132 points.

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Okay, that's where we'd have the better odds. Do you get what I'm saying? That would be the extension odds, and it's the same thing.

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as the odds from full core ratios. So these ratios here, off 70, 77.

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And 778. Hey, there you go, it's with me.

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The full four ratios, so like 103107 110 115 are the same.

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thing as full.

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From the 250

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ratios.

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26.

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point theory, Kate, of.

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Hush.

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138 to 132 points off 70, 57, 70, 58. Does that make sense? So either way that you look at it,

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that area has the highest confluence. Do you guys agree? In terms of expansion, in terms of like continuing to push that and it makes sense because getting over 7188 is getting into a new zone which gives us the odd of getting another 108 push. So all the confluence is there. It's just understanding like the minimum condition so that would give us the highest odds, okay? Obviously

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at the very least, like considering my clothes around the 106.

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107, 103, what areas do you guys think could help odds just a tiny tiny bit? It might not give us the best odds but this could maybe help us a tiny bit.

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So we closed out 106, 107 point ratio, okay? If we open at 103 point ratio, which is basically flat,

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It's still within our core ranges, right? It's not the worst case, it's not the best case field. That would be like opening at.

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Opening at 7161, okay, that would be 103 point ratio. Does that make sense?

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Opening out 71.

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Sixty-three.

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That's probably 100, 300 point ratio.

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Okay, so considering we closed out 10610107, what would technically be considered even slightly progressive? And from the base theory, it makes sense that it would be. What area would be slightly progressive?

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Don't make them pick names, guys, like try to answer the questions. They're honestly pretty easy questions, but...

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So especially because it's right in front of you, which areas would be progressive?

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is what? What area is this? So this is 110 points.

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What's 7168?

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What kind of area is that?

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Obviously getting at least 110 points, right, from these closing points. So off 70, 50, 70, 50, 70, 50, 70, 70, 70, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50, 50

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and what kind of area is this?

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like these areas here.

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Like they're not the absolute best, but they would give us at least a shot.

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What areas are these you guys?

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Come on, you guys, do they want to put this out before the market opens?

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What kind of areas is 6-7-6-6-8-6-9?

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No, no, it's not the means.

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It's like the cost of what?

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What do I call those, usually? Above 6466 is no longer the means. They're lower core areas, right? So that means your odds are what?

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still slightly lower, right?

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to engage back in prior like lower core ranges or potentially come back to like 5551, do you get what I'm saying? So the odds are they're okay, but they're not very high. Okay, so it could still be enough to retest core areas.

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but maybe not enough to fully push through them. Does that make sense?

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Whereas.

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So.

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What's the star usually of core ranges?

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where do core ranges typically begin?

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Okay, but it's still like...

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around what? Like usually I say 6668 plus but there's still it's kind of a great area because it's not the absolute best

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It still could be a good stall, but they're not.

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they don't usually give you the highest odds unless you get, like, full continuation.

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You like 6668, but what area would be technically better than that?

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Yeah, 17, 12, 15.

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in base theory.

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Okay, so

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There you go. So, 7173.72 open, that's 115 points.

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Which is all of us.

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Range Theory?

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the areas that we have to get, do you get what I'm saying? Like those areas would give you technically the better odds, okay? Like at least on a, and from a base theory it makes sense because you'd want to open a core range, right? 7-1, 7-2, 7-4. Do you see how it correlates though in terms of like,

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Which is a very important thing to understand. It's just a very complex thing to...

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It's a very complex thing to teach and to like.

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All right.

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put it into words, but this is how it would work. So that's why I think that this would, these areas here, we can say with pretty good confluence. So let's say 78, what was that area? 73.

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72, 67, 68.

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Okay, these areas are still not bad and you can weigh them in color or theory too if you want, like based on...

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Maybe you can start doing it like maybe label like 103 and like

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Seven, four.

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yellow, 107 in like blue. Do you get what I'm saying so that you understand odds? Like I don't know how else to get to make it make sense, but that way you can have an idea of how the fractions work and what odds are higher or lower. But like from a base theory, without even looking at any of this math, you should automatically always know that 6668 is lower core. Everyone here has to know that, okay? 7-1,

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mid core. Okay, like this range in here. Okay, like you technically you can go around like five, six. Okay, usually when you start getting above six, six, seven, six, seven, seven, seven, eight.

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These are offer for do you get what i'm saying so you want to kind of put it.

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into like, which ratios give you the highest odds right? And technically you can split that into four if you want like six six six eight six nine seven one seven two seven four seven five seven six seven eight eight one and then eight.

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2, 8, 4, 8, 5, 8, 6, like technically those would be like, and that would make sense from like 103, 10, 7, 1, 10, 1, 10, 1, 15, okay.

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Do you see how all the scenarios are correlated to one another, though? Like, and how these areas are all intertwined? But like, a lot of it's relative to where you open clothes. So what would be the worst area to open them, based on these ratios? What would be the absolute worst area to open them?

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And also from the Lowes, remember, the 128 ratio?

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Off the low, this is also linked to the 71, 74, so.

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This is linked to offloads.

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This is on our 28 points off those so.

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That area has a lot of confidence too, 7176, okay, 132.

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this area here. Basically like seven.

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7577 area is like 122 points, 132 points off those lows.

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Okay, so we have some good confluence there.

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If you open beneath.

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the low ratios.

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Okay, this is where obviously problems could arise, like Book Beneath here, okay?

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And that makes sense because you'd be opening beneath the channel or beneath the you be opening beneath the the meat so like it back into the channel.

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And same thing here, it'd be like the 88 point ratio of like near 4-6.

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Okay, and it's not like those ratios are bad, they just don't give us high of compliance, okay? So that being said, if you were to open in the channel, like beneath 50,

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That's where you have to start trying to determine what would be the better portion in the channel, I guess, to open it, right? Like,

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Obviously, you want to try opening at least above 7-1.

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Which makes sense cause then...

2:54 PM

You're at top core area, you don't want to come back into the...

2:54 PM

Into the zone because you'd be at least trying to protect the zone, maybe digest the channel. Do you see how I'm what I'm saying, like between the 70s ratios.

2:54 PM

right, or like mid core ratios?

2:54 PM

versus like here, same sort of idea.

2:54 PM

like if you open beneath here.

2:54 PM

You don't really wanna come to, like a lot of the 70s are linked to 7-1-3-2-3-1-3-3, and that's not a coincidence, because that's, like, kind of, basically insinuating that you'd wanna hold upper four ratios. Does that make sense? Like, 7-1-2-7-1-2-8, 7-1-3-2. Okay, off 70s, 27-7-75 point ratios, off these open-flows ratios. You would be in steeper trouble once you start feeling what? And this makes total sense, you guys. Off the low.

2:55 PM

and this is how these areas are correlated and it's actually insane, how accurate this is, okay? So off the low ratio, 72, 73, 75 point ratios are linked to 71-20s.

2:55 PM

Do you see what I'm saying?

2:55 PM

what are those areas

2:55 PM

that that low is linked to that low. So this is where you could start hitting a huge volatility. And that makes sense because

2:55 PM

What are these areas here?

2:55 PM

off the lows. These are the 70 point ratios.

2:55 PM

Were those, did those come into play?

2:55 PM

Yes they did, right? Look at that, that's insane.

2:55 PM

These literally were the areas that they tried holding. Like, look.

2:55 PM

Look at the 72 point ratio.

2:55 PM

It's literally 718.50, this was the 72 point ratio.

2:55 PM

Is that a coincidence? Probably not.

2:55 PM

Okay, look at the higher lows ratio, 71.50, 53.50. Do you guys understand the concept here? So, it is actually very, very cool, because...

2:56 PM

you can see the direct correlation. So worst worst worst case scenario would be going and opening back in the channel right? If they don't open in the channel and they open it back in the zone, do you understand how and why you'd probably want to hold around 71

2:56 PM

20, they spare a coursebox, 71, 22, 71, 28, 71, 24. There's a lot of confidence around 71, 31, 33, 34. Okay, these are also linked to the lows. So.

2:56 PM

There's a few ways that you can look at that.

2:56 PM

In relevance to linking this to open clothes, however, I feel like you'd still be maybe like the 66 point ratios It still kind of puts you at some risk. We're at that point. You're better off opening above

2:56 PM

the zone which is kind of like your, it's mostly the forties where I feel like it starts giving you like some confliction and that would make sense because it'd be like going back to the previous

2:57 PM

high in pre-market before that actually happens and then same idea here like if they off highs like measuring off highs to lows is also pretty important It would be kind of the same sort of idea whereas like this is like a 22 point ratio But even if you bring it down these are probably 33 34 points do you see what I'm saying so there's correlations using the theories either where you look at it But so there's correlations with that, but obviously once they start pushing down here like you see how these are 40s, like there's not really much consequence. So it's like 40s in there.

2:57 PM

eighties up here, okay? Forties and eighties, they don't really give us full confluence, whereas back in here, it's still to 50 point ratios, okay? Like 71, 32, 33, okay?

2:57 PM

Okay.

2:57 PM

Further down here off highs.

2:57 PM

is where it gets neutralized, and this makes sense, because maybe if they fail,

2:57 PM

7-1-20, 7-1-30s, could they technically still hold a neutral zone?

2:58 PM

Especially if we have multi flips this week. Remember, this is the deciding week between the 20th, 21st, 22nd, 23rd. That usually implies volatility, right? Multi-flips.

2:58 PM

And six, seven bars.

2:58 PM

implies volatility and two directional EAs. Does that make sense? So technically speaking, they could they take it down to the 7110, 7110-4? Like pay attention to where the high ranges are coming in from. So off highs.

2:58 PM

On the down side.

2:58 PM

if they were to do something like this.

2:58 PM

Do you understand how these ratios here could take you back to like 7104, 7105, like these ranges here? Full ranges could take you right back to...

2:58 PM

Basically, almost where you close, like 107, look.

2:58 PM

Right? Like, it's the same thing. Back to 70-78.

2:58 PM

It can take you right back to those closing ranges. So...

2:58 PM

and that would be if you failed to hold a neutral zone. That's where there would be, like,

2:59 PM

And we had a lot of confidence in this area so that it makes sense that the neutralized area.

2:59 PM

right, that could either, either they hold.

2:59 PM

and break back to hide or fail and break back to 70.

2:59 PM

71, 77, 8, etc, which takes us back, basically, too.

2:59 PM

the 16th open close ratio. Okay. Full range would be back all the way to 7057, which shakes you back to these closing points. It's actually crazy calculated. So, what do you guys think? Hurry, there are 30 seconds. What area do you guys think that they are going to open this in?

2:59 PM

But I unfortunately, clearly I'm not going to put this up before the open. I have a pretty good feeling that there's a chance that they might open this a bit flat just because of the dynamics coming into this week. So...

2:59 PM

Probably closer to like the 50s and 60s is my guess, but I would obviously love an open above 7-1 at a minimum and 7-3. But ideally anything over 7-8-8-1-8-4 would be the better.

3:00 PM

option, but I feel like they'll likely try to keep it conflicted and in doing that they'd probably keep it in the 60s. That's just my guess. Or the gap down, which is the neutral spot two year.

3:00 PM

which, okay, see, that makes sense too, because if they don't open it at the minimum, they'll probably try to neutralize it into this area that we just talked about. So that's pretty crazy. That makes sense, based on the multi flips this week, that we talked about, because if they wanna keep volatility alive,

3:00 PM

They might want to try bringing it down to bring it back up. Does that make sense? Especially since we have the odds on the 21st, 22nd, 23rd, and it kind of continues up until the 24th. So multi flips this week and especially thumb hitting

3:00 PM

Um.

3:00 PM

Six bar. This looks a lot like how it look like.

3:01 PM

back on the 10th through the 14th. So like the 10th 11th, 12th, one they have to try pushing it back up, right? And that that was mainly to see if they would take it back green. Do you remember that? To give the fourth bar continuation. So this could be a very similar period because they might have to bring it down, to see if they could then try pushing it back up. So

3:01 PM

7-1-0-2-50 open.

3:01 PM

I would say is is quite calculated on those neutral spots that we just talked about and then we can maybe use these ranges here for overnight retracements like in terms of like we're. This needs to sustain where it has to get back to and what we just talked about off highs these areas here.

3:01 PM

like a 92 point ratio, they would probably have some support right around the open closed, like 107 points is back to 778.

3:01 PM

Great, on her 10, 115 is back.

3:01 PM

to 70, 67, 70, 70, 71. The full range back would take you back to retest the 70, 50. So those could be some support ranges, unless they keep it stuck in an inside bar.

3:01 PM

and if they do keep it stuck in an inside bar, then it becomes very...

3:01 PM

very important that they try.

3:02 PM

at the very least retracting like these kind of ranges in here, like the 77, 78.

3:02 PM

and then trying to push it back.

3:02 PM

into the channel at least to give it some sort of stability, okay, so.

3:02 PM

probably like.

3:02 PM

Back to here, like 72.

3:02 PM

Seven, four, seven, five.

3:02 PM

Those would be the 70 point ratios of this range here. So they would be required to try to...

3:02 PM

Quickly hold off, basically try sustaining like 785, 887, 888. Try pushing it back into the zone to keep its zone down and retrace these four ranges. So that kind of open makes sense, because with, uh, I actually had written this in the report, let me find a hold on.

3:02 PM

This was in the report.

3:02 PM

you guys.

3:03 PM

That makes sense, because...

3:03 PM

So the visuals are what we just went over. So I'll have to copy, paste those in here.

3:03 PM

this is what's going to be a little bit trickier to keep track up, because we know how calculated this area is, okay, and needs to be tracked. I guess I should put 71 entry. Thank you.

3:03 PM

but also the big factor is the potential of hitting.

Bye bye.

volatility, because it can start rising based on getting close to that exhaustion expansion period, which can often trigger two directional price action, right? I guess I should note here to another reason being would be the mid flips and multi flips.

3:03 PM

which can

3:03 PM

And someone knew whoever's microphone for her.

3:03 PM

Oh, totally.

3:03 PM

I'm going to dance.

3:04 PM

specifically.

3:04 PM

comes for you also falls right in the middle. So that I don't think was.

3:04 PM

I don't think that was a coincidence, like, posing at 61 or 71.

3:04 PM

15 is 71 and 60s.

3:04 PM

Okay.

3:04 PM

I'm gonna copy paste all the charts that we just looked at here, so that I can put this in here. I did go over most of the previous spots, and then I'll just re-emphasize the conditions for the week. So, based on everything we discussed, we can still use these things, because it'll basically just turn it into...

3:05 PM

this area does.

3:05 PM

Uh, a way of, like, retracements, I guess, like, does that make sense? So do you guys still want these notes summarized as areas of retracements off core ratios to open those highs lows? I still think it's still vital and thankfully, I got to the point before market open where

3:05 PM

have some mods to considering they could neutralize it and technically if they hold core ratios they could still try.

3:05 PM

Um.

3:05 PM

to push.

3:05 PM

Um,

3:05 PM

push back into the zone basically and that can just kind of make it more of that two-directional week, which is what I figured they could do this week because this week is meant to be a little bit more volatile and less straightforward. Does that make sense? So like closing in the means already started to hint that they might give us some volatility coming up between

3:05 PM

the period of like April 14th, 21st, 28th, does that make sense? And considering

3:05 PM

we actually broke eyes on the 15th, which seemed more aligned. The periods probably closer to like this, the 15, 20, second, 29. So I would say that we could experience some early week volatility to kick off the week and then

3:06 PM

They should come to a deciding point. I would say probably by the 22nd, 23rd. I haven't taken a look though to see.

3:06 PM

I haven't even had a chance yet.

3:06 PM

like the kind of, I know that Canada has CPI.

3:06 PM

I know that there is a Fed speaker on.

3:06 PM

Tuesday?

3:06 PM

but I didn't really see anything else.

3:06 PM

that we had scheduled.

3:06 PM

I was thinking like Fed meetings on.

3:06 PM

Tuesday would probably be what could trigger some of the.

3:06 PM

The movements.

3:06 PM

Okay, hopefully you guys found this helpful.

3:06 PM

I'm going to compile the notes that...

3:06 PM

the botches transcribed and

3:06 PM

I'll try framing that to the best of my abilities. Okay, but

3:06 PM

and you guys at least let me know, did this help you?

3:07 PM

understand ratios a bit better in specific.

3:07 PM

to opening, closing.

3:07 PM

times most.

3:07 PM

and their probability, so.

3:07 PM

Bees.

3:07 PM

70308 those neutral opens they make sense to me based on one thing actually two things So why would it make sense to open in that area there

3:07 PM

based on two things.

3:07 PM

One is what?

3:07 PM

2 is what? That's why I wanted to get to that point before the open, because there was a pretty good odd that they...

3:07 PM

don't make it obvious enough and it makes sense. Why not because?

3:07 PM

Where we closed on Friday and too, because.

3:07 PM

of the market.

3:07 PM

What would make market makers wanna open it there?

3:07 PM

existing market.

3:07 PM

this is something that's hard to teach.

3:08 PM

market.

3:08 PM

dynamics, right?

3:08 PM

are the dynamics of this specific period as

3:08 PM

clear and constructive as it was on a first bar second bar, no. Okay, so it's not as clear.

3:08 PM

and concise because we are hitting the six.

3:08 PM

and

3:08 PM

Seven bars, right?

3:08 PM

this is kind of similar to like on the two day, remember how we came across the median point where they had to make a decision between the 10th and the 13th and you can kind of see same sort of thing. Like you see how they had the gap down on the 13th? Does that make sense you guys? Because they also hit yeah, market structure, exactly. So remember on the 10th,

3:08 PM

And then the period was from here, so until here, so remember how the 13th gap down?

3:08 PM

This is very similar, okay? Because...

3:08 PM

You are now hitting.

3:08 PM

A six bar. Does that make sense?

3:09 PM

Six, bar, third bar, isn't that crazy? How like the three, third bar?

3:09 PM

which may end up.

3:09 PM

The 11th and 12th is the same thing. So basically, 13th I guess.

3:09 PM

And this is far between the 20th.

3:09 PM

for 22nd and what did we do on the 13th?

3:09 PM

That is very similar to what we're doing right now.

3:09 PM

And this is probably the last thing I'll cover before I end the stream so I can finish this up. Otherwise, I'll be stuck on my computer for like another three hours, which I don't want.

3:09 PM

What would be, what's the same thing that's happened on the 13th that happened here?

3:09 PM

Yeah, it gapped down, right, so...

3:09 PM

Um, remember the 80 three point gap down that we kept talking about and like, uh,

3:10 PM

So I haven't actually looked to see exactly how many points they got this down. This was 61 points.

3:10 PM

off highs, it was crazy. So off highs, it was 83.25. So

3:10 PM

there are some.

3:10 PM

similarities at 83 point gap.

3:10 PM

down off by verses off.

3:10 PM

close. Okay, so.

3:10 PM

Done.

3:10 PM

That's actually a little bit better, because considering this was like only 61 points.

3:10 PM

Whereas, like, how they gaped us down similar to what they did before, it would have been closer to gapping down right around 70-81. Does that make sense? So how they gaped it down similar to the closing point, like they did back here, it would have been as basically a 70-81 point gap. So that could be a slight advantage.

3:10 PM

If they can get things moving, so.

3:10 PM

same sort of idea.

3:10 PM

they'd have to probably start.

3:11 PM

pushing. And we've had this 83 point range for a while now. I did mention that if this is linked to the that's pretty crazy that that's linked to 71.86 is that 83.75 point range. I discussed this last week. So you can go back and review it if you guys want.

3:11 PM

Having an inside day would probably be the safer bit, especially for the 20, the 20th, considering.

3:11 PM

this runs and flips on the 20 seconds. So the 21st might be a better odd, but you could also stay stuck inside on the 6th bar, right? And then

3:11 PM

And not have a break and then have the directional break on between the 22nd and 24th, which would be that seventh bar period and that would either be

3:11 PM

the most volatile bar, because it's going to take out the highs, or take out the lows. Does that make sense? So maybe that could be how we could start to position.

3:11 PM

the beginning of this week.

3:12 PM

I feel like that makes the most sense.

3:12 PM

and it could be directly correlated to lake.

3:12 PM

Basically, these ranges here are like the.

3:12 PM

70, 46 mows.

3:12 PM

this kind of audit here, kind of like whether or not they come back and take out that range.

3:12 PM

And like I remember what we talked about before the 7046 lows.

3:12 PM

It's linked to all these red areas here, right? So.

3:12 PM

These are the 50-point ratios right here so far.

3:12 PM

And it makes sense because once you start going back beneath like 20 to 23 point ratios, that's.

3:12 PM

the absolute lowest core ratios.

3:12 PM

which give you the highest odds of triggering backs at me 46. So we could probably use that as like the middle working man this week for our ratio. So maybe.

3:13 PM

to start off inside is maybe not the worst case scenario.

3:13 PM

Okay.

3:13 PM

Okay, if you guys don't have any questions, I'm going to...

3:13 PM

finish the stream and I'm going to.

3:13 PM

put this out so that.

3:13 PM

We have something to work with.

3:13 PM

Hopefully, do I send all these with the swaths?

3:13 PM

Hopefully I did. I think I did. Yeah, I did.

3:13 PM

before I reset this and then it's all gone.

3:13 PM

Okay.

3:13 PM

So for now overnight conditions, probably wanna get back to the 71, 20s and 30s, that's probably more than enough, and then sustain 70, 70 years.

3:13 PM

eight, 771, 781, okay? So basically, sustain core, retreats core, and then we can take it from there.

3:13 PM

_ms_izzy disconnected

yeezyszn disconnected

you're welcome, okay, I'll see you guys in a bit. I'm gonna try to get this out as quick as I can.

solotrading disconnected

This transcript was automatically sent to all users who spoke in the voice chat.

transcript.txt

45.21 KB

A transcript session was started ⁨4/20/2026 7:11 AM⁩.

A transcript session was started ⁨4/20/2026 7:24 AM⁩.

Bye.

7:25 AM

Okay guys, good morning. I'm pretty sure with this one, we had looked at the 10-11 month supply ranges, like back in here. I don't know if you guys remember that. And then kind of the mid-range supply up in here, but you can kind of see there are some structure breaks.

7:25 AM

around here.

7:25 AM

I also think it was important that we initially, when we had looked at this, we had looked at like the two, three-month-flake formations. I don't know if you guys remember this.

7:25 AM

This is my

7:25 AM

There's quite some overhead around like the 9 to 9.5960 range, okay?

7:25 AM

So.

7:25 AM

technically speaking.

7:25 AM

if you wanna see that.

7:25 AM

And you can also see like the mid star range right here.

7:25 AM

These are like our masks, overheads around 920. This is basically what can get it to like 11.

7:25 AM

1120, 1180, okay, like these bigger ranges up in here.

7:25 AM

So.

7:25 AM

I was thinking.

7:26 AM

obviously relative to just how much range they break because like you can you see how like the star range in there was huge.

7:26 AM

I saw that back in here.

7:26 AM

like September. Do you see that? If you look at this.

7:26 AM

And maybe let's just mark the date so you guys can see this and if we look at this from

7:26 AM

six-month range in here from like 20 11 verses 2015.

7:26 AM

922.

7:26 AM

You can see how crucial this is.

7:26 AM

to 920 spotters, right?

7:26 AM

Did you guys see that?

7:26 AM

this area here. So what they did right there when they took it out with a single stick and volume is huge, okay? So that's what can push this.

7:26 AM

which lets you light on on the 9th, 20th, United.

7:26 AM

Thank you, Joey.

7:26 AM

Those range in here and that's where all the liquidity came in and it was right off the 738.

7:26 AM

your own spray.

7:26 AM

which I talked about before.

7:26 AM

So that's what I had said.

7:27 AM

And we can have.

7:27 AM

I don't know how to encounter the night.

7:27 AM

then they hurt him.

7:27 AM

Thank you.

7:27 AM

And if you look at the structure this past week,

7:27 AM

That's exactly what happened, so it starts getting alerts, okay.

7:27 AM

on these things because that 738 break today.

7:27 AM

That'll break off open.

7:27 AM

You see what I'm saying, like, especially where they cleared it, like within the first minute and look where they took it to.

7:27 AM

directly to like the 854, 868 area.

7:27 AM

And I don't even have all these words for it, but like...

7:27 AM

I look right in here, do you see that?

7:27 AM

and they completely bypass the spot that it could have digested in, which would have been this box right here.

7:27 AM

And so.

7:28 AM

and they they did take out 922, they just had it closed up of it. So that's obviously going to be a big big spot going forward.

7:28 AM

Okay.

7:28 AM

and...

7:28 AM

We could probably take a look to see if there's any.

7:28 AM

Like daily flags, I look.

7:28 AM

Remember if you wasn't, it wasn't a philosophy.

7:28 AM

like on.

7:28 AM

I mean, that's not really a good thing.

7:28 AM

This is not bad.

7:28 AM

Slips on the 22nd.

7:28 AM

16 days, not a valid looking shirt.

7:28 AM

It's okay.

7:28 AM

or continuation through month end.

7:28 AM

want to see if there are any better ones.

7:28 AM

Or any that kind of correlate to the past.

7:28 AM

like ranges in here.

7:29 AM

This is okay.

7:29 AM

I'm on.

7:29 AM

I'm pretty sure they were like just over.

7:29 AM

We haven't finished the bucket up on this.

7:29 AM

These are your greatest.

7:29 AM

and are the liquid gas liquid structures.

7:29 AM

most of them are all like the four months.

7:29 AM

range of it's so long.

7:29 AM

60 days.

7:29 AM

It would make sense that they'd be like just under 50 just over it.

7:29 AM

I'm trying to remember exactly which one it was.

7:29 AM

I think it, okay.

7:29 AM

I think they're just under.

7:29 AM

and just over the monthly.

7:29 AM

Like you see this how it expands until June 24th.

7:30 AM

summer.

7:30 AM

and then kind of like this star reversal, so a lot of these have odds of like basically pushing through.

7:30 AM

Is there earliest book?

7:30 AM

Which is interesting because that kind of just surfaces like what I'm saying here. I'm like even like the 75 Davis would flip on the 22nd so April 22nd

7:30 AM

But most of these run until...

7:30 AM

Great, wait.

7:30 AM

and see what the 90 days look like.

7:30 AM

They're not really good.

7:30 AM

There is looking structures making kind of see the mirror.

7:30 AM

In these ones, we're late, probably the best of these ranges in here.

7:31 AM

and this is where they could take it up to these bars in here, okay, so.

7:31 AM

basically often to these.

7:31 AM

ranges in here, which is quite a lot of room for those if they actually keep it going.

7:31 AM

We could probably mark the mid ranges. There is the 11 mark in here, and that's why I said they could stall 11 first, because there is some slight overhead around 11, 11, 11, 6, okay?

7:31 AM

um, if you wanna use the nine month, you could maybe go back and even just see, like, the actual structure is off, like, the nine, ten.

7:31 AM

You love and love.

7:31 AM

11 month and

7:31 AM

Hold on.

7:31 AM

bear bullflegs were the best looking so like for bullfleg scenarios it would have been back in January.

7:31 AM

true.

7:31 AM

here.

7:31 AM

on the 11 month bear flag it would have been back from January 2015. I'll just mark these in red.

7:32 AM

For instance,

7:32 AM

here. So if you want to look back at like exact ranges or dates, you could, okay, just go back and check how it traded within that time interval. Does that make sense? So

7:32 AM

here.

7:32 AM

Yeah.

7:32 AM

You see that? Like, you can probably murph these.

7:32 AM

Maybe mark them in red so that you know that these are.

7:32 AM

OK, looks like that passed.

7:32 AM

from those beer ranges, but just so that you know what kind of key occurred around these price points. And it's pretty clear that this was like the $11 breakdown.

7:32 AM

bull range or whatever.

7:32 AM

until they came back, brought it back up to 12. So.

7:32 AM

and same thing with like the ball.

7:32 AM

flag, I guess.

7:32 AM

This is like the six to 738 range, you can see it, like in here.

7:33 AM

Hmm.

7:33 AM

and it looks like...

7:33 AM

when they had cleared.

7:33 AM

This was the clearance stick, I hope you guys can see this.

7:33 AM

on February 14th.

7:33 AM

Okay, so you could maybe mark these in green just so that you know and you can start a different template if you want, I might actually do that, but just so that you know, like which areas actually pushed when they broke, okay, so that we have at least an idea of like, okay, well if they break these areas, what are they breaking the past.

7:33 AM

And you can kind of see the same sort of.

7:33 AM

continued structural breaks up here, so this 1150.

7:33 AM

or a teen area, obviously, has a lot of overhead, and then you can see.

7:33 AM

when they held 922, would you go see this?

7:33 AM

this was the 922 old, okay.

7:33 AM

this for you.

7:33 AM

That's the kind of move it broke.

7:33 AM

Hmm?

7:34 AM

I know this is very messy, but...

7:34 AM

This is like the magnitude of your in the past.

7:34 AM

Okay, kind of like this.

7:34 AM

Well, in order for it to have done that, that's the kind of...

7:34 AM

your break, it would have required. So that's a pretty massive move if they were to do something like that.

7:34 AM

I don't really know much about this company though. And that would be only the 12, 13 break, obviously. That's where they flagged it up to like 15, 16. This was one, two, three, four, five, six, seven. This was like a perfect example of like a...

7:34 AM

Uh, daily three bar up.

7:34 AM

and the seven bar exhaustion stick.

7:34 AM

on that floor play.

7:34 AM

Okay, so.

7:34 AM

We need to reset this.

7:35 AM

maybe homework, these, cause that was.

7:35 AM

Maybe I'll mark this in a different shade of green, so I know that that was like.

7:35 AM

flag break

7:35 AM

really these areas.

7:35 AM

when they actually brought it up on the daily because

7:35 AM

I don't know if this thing is going to go to 20, but I mean...

7:35 AM

putting out.

7:35 AM

But I'll check and see what kind of news this thing is even.

7:35 AM

and see the stalls right here. Same thing, this is only brought it back to these areas in here.

7:35 AM

Okay, so.

7:35 AM

Now, let's see how this traded within.

7:35 AM

like those specific ranges, you can clearly see 929-22 is huge right? So,

7:35 AM

And holding around like the 835, 830, 854, this is probably the preferred area that you'd want this to hold down for it to get the secondary leg.

7:36 AM

You love it.

7:36 AM

to these ranges in your own like 10, 10, 60.

7:36 AM

This is gonna look kind of messy, but...

7:36 AM

You don't really need all of this up here.

7:36 AM

same name.

7:36 AM

this range in here, which is close to like that 11, 11, 50 area.

7:36 AM

Okay.

7:36 AM

Okay, that's it. I just want to cover that real quick. ES is pretty straightforward, I think.

7:36 AM

Um, they stalled 5758.

7:36 AM

So I'm waiting for...

7:36 AM

there is the 4-4 breakdown.

7:36 AM

I want to see if they can give us a retest.

7:36 AM

bolster to the three.

7:36 AM

three, eight.

7:36 AM

this kind of range in here, I was really hoping that they could push it back to three three, but we'll see. So this is pretty straightforward, I think, based on.

7:36 AM

done pushing 5.8, 5.9, installing, pushing it back, but breaching 5.1, okay? This is kind of like where they kept it in between.

7:37 AM

Do you see this?

7:37 AM

I'll show you guys.

7:37 AM

So like they breached it basically two points above or they held it.

7:37 AM

Roughly two points above right here.

7:37 AM

and they did the same thing right here, okay?

7:37 AM

Like that.

7:37 AM

You guys can see that, do you see this?

7:37 AM

versus that.

7:37 AM

it's a total of like four-point spacing.

7:37 AM

and this is usually how they can start making sideways kind of price action, which is exactly what I figured they would do.

7:37 AM

can you guys at least tell me and give me feedback?

7:37 AM

Do you understand why the market is trading like this today?

7:37 AM

like based on what we talked about.

7:37 AM

Yes, okay, good.

7:38 AM

pretty concerned if you guys did it. And this is, so far this is very constructive price action. So these are the 60s, the 7120 holds.

7:38 AM

three, six, three, four stalls, obviously back in here.

7:38 AM

Okay.

VINAY disconnected

What's the big structural hole that we have to hold? To even get this move in the first place, do not get this wrong. If you guys get this wrong, then you actually don't understand what we're doing today. What was the big structural hole that we had to have?

7:38 AM

start clearing price properly today.

7:38 AM

and specifically lake.

7:38 AM

us.

7:38 AM

to at least test 32.

7:38 AM

We definitely had some odds of testing three-two earlier, but they had stalled.

7:38 AM

Which area did we have to sustain?

7:38 AM

and more specific to late overnight.

7:38 AM

in terms of getting back.

7:39 AM

to two two.

7:39 AM

guess we could put like a midmark in here like the two.

7:39 AM

Yeah.

7:39 AM

No.

7:39 AM

for structure to build and base, where did we have to hold exactly? 7103, 7106, ideally closer to 7106 plus.

7:39 AM

If I feel like $7.99, $9.706 would have increased volatility in.

7:39 AM

increased the odds of what.

7:39 AM

better to know these things.

7:39 AM

Like, you have to know this, otherwise, you don't actually understand structure.

7:39 AM

eh?

7:40 AM

All those in.

7:40 AM

I'm basically giving you those answers, but...

7:40 AM

You, you have to hold the 7103, 7106. There was, like, the slight breaches back in here, but you see how they kind of held above, like, the 70.

7:40 AM

the 71-03-71-02 which is like thick, so they breech below but closed above opening range and I think a lot of this too was based on the fact that they stalled.

7:41 AM

to get 71, 18, 71, 20 this morning, okay? And it's not a huge deal.

7:41 AM

Why is that the case? So why was this okay that they stalled this morning? So here they didn't capture 4.75 in range, let's say.

7:41 AM

Why was this okay?

7:41 AM

and this is partially why it took us so long to get 71-20s last night.

7:41 AM

What was that? Okay.

7:41 AM

that they did that.

7:41 AM

I'll start picking on people if you guys don't answer.

7:41 AM

Oh, you guys are the lucky bunch. Why was that okay that they stalled?

7:41 AM

at 7-1-16 and didn't push to 7-1-20-22.

7:41 AM

based on what previous conditions.

7:42 AM

Or better question is, where was our accepted downside range? Like max downside, but we really did not want to companies.

7:42 AM

um 70s is a little too low but like you may be the exact number because I gave you guys the exact numbers.

7:42 AM

So you guys should give me the exact numbers.

7:42 AM

What was your overnight support you guys?

7:42 AM

Yeah, okay, this area here, 780, 781. So I would say that because...

7:42 AM

They still held above.

7:42 AM

That range yesterday by a few points. I feel like that kind of gave us a

7:42 AM

It kind of gave us some leg room to work with does that make sense because had they and I don't have all these spots marked but they were it was close to like the 70 80

7:43 AM

7-8-1.

7:43 AM

just above 70-79-78, okay? Do you see what I'm saying?

7:43 AM

Can you hear it?

7:43 AM

this range in here, this area here.

7:43 AM

Okay, does that make sense?

7:43 AM

why that would be okay, it kind of bought us like to buffer.

7:43 AM

Okay, that can be quick to what.

7:43 AM

Offsetting risk, right, is going.

7:43 AM

Does that make sense?

7:43 AM

7-1-20.

7:43 AM

which really just ends up turning into delays. So, which is basically what they did.

7:43 AM

What else could that do? Where else could you apply that to?

7:43 AM

Where else could that 4.75 be applied to?

7:43 AM

or Kevin.

7:43 AM

I'll be.

7:44 AM

be up by two.

7:44 AM

Let some other different people answer for one. We're all cut this.

7:44 AM

that 4.75 offset.

7:44 AM

Did we ideally want to hold above 7106?

7:44 AM

We could afford risk between $7,99 and $7,103, okay.

7:44 AM

but where would be a preferred to help?

7:44 AM

Obviously 71.

7:44 AM

067110 plus, right, this area. So where could you have afforded some of that neutralized risk?

7:44 AM

This is where it starts to get a bit tricky, but it's still within the range. And I don't have, again, I said, I don't have all these spots marked, so we're doing it together.

7:44 AM

where would you have rather held?

7:44 AM

for cleared price action.

7:45 AM

Obviously 7106, okay.

7:45 AM

Nice work on the oil hatch. I took it on Friday.

7:45 AM

Okay, so and you can kind of keep rinsing and repeating the same exact sort of PA all day today and it seemed to have been the case. I haven't fully done it yet, but I would imagine that even back here, this is probably why they stalled.

7:45 AM

This is probably why they stalled 71 32.

7:45 AM

Do you see it?

7:45 AM

Please tell me you guys understand what I'm saying, because then otherwise I'm just wasting my breath in real time.

7:45 AM

Like, my biggest pet peeve is the one no one says anything because then I'm like, well, I'm just talking to myself then.

7:45 AM

Okay.

7:45 AM

So do you understand what we're getting at? Basically,

7:46 AM

And, to me, this makes sense, because technically, even though we held A5, I think holding the zone, like closer to A8-8-8-9, probably would have given us a higher out of clearing the zone anyway. Does that make sense? Like those four points could have also been extracted from.

7:46 AM

coming beneath seven.

7:46 AM

Bye.

7:46 AM

Essentially, if you didn't have these offsets here, you would have had a perfect

7:46 AM

0, 8, 8, 8, 9, 10, okay.

7:46 AM

test of 20, a perfect backtest of O6, a perfect blank sustainment above 10 clearance here. Okay, probably would have come back. They held 20 good. So this is where odds were, okay, they had a chance but clearly they couldn't do it. You can see how long it took. Otherwise, if this didn't happen, they would have cleared that. Okay, does that make sense?

7:47 AM

And even like from a time perspective, the time it took from this stall here, this is typically how you can figure that they're likely not going to break to like some of the clearance breaks in here, this took about 100.

7:47 AM

38 bars, just over two hours.

7:47 AM

Okay, so you probably would have wanted to start breaking right here, or do you see that?

7:47 AM

when they started coming back and then slightly started stalling or off this break right here.

7:47 AM

Okay, no luck with that.

7:47 AM

and then off the stall they can bring you back down. So let's see off.

7:47 AM

I didn't measure the full range.

7:47 AM

Did you guys see this or no?

7:47 AM

think overnight I was measuring this was like 193 minutes. You can see, you see when I started stalling 7120s here?

7:47 AM

These were like the, this kind of is going excessively over time.

7:47 AM

Okay, this is when I knew it was going to fail 71, 20 seconds.

7:47 AM

Okay.

7:47 AM

Bye!

7:47 AM

They at least tested.

7:47 AM

So we still had pretty good odds of holding 7110.

7:48 AM

which was basically the same.

7:48 AM

sort of idea, right, kind of like.

7:48 AM

Hmm.

7:48 AM

the buffer and range above or below.

7:48 AM

That's 71.

7:48 AM

20 spot, which...

7:48 AM

Pretty sure.

7:48 AM

and 71-16, it should be very close to the 71-11.

7:48 AM

right, or if you look at it right back in here, off 7106.

7:48 AM

Hey.

7:48 AM

There's a lot of structural support in this area here.

7:48 AM

Between 71, 10 and 0, 6.

7:48 AM

Thanks for watching.

7:48 AM

What's something that you guys notice right here? This is being extreme attention to detail, by the way. I got filled on that 4-1 back test.

7:49 AM

entry for a starter entry for 3-8, that didn't feel but an increase if it broke back above. So...

7:49 AM

This is not a bad spot, guys, for...

7:49 AM

starter positions long.

7:49 AM

You could do the next day exploration if they make the slow. I still think that they might take it a tiny bit lower than this, but.

7:49 AM

Okay.

7:49 AM

What's a key detail here that you guys noticed?

Okay.

based on wear held and based on what would have been maybe a better calculated whole. James.

7:49 AM

I'm going to start like making you guys

7:49 AM

otherwise no one's going to participate.

7:49 AM

What happened right there?

Thank you.

Specifically here, what happened?

7:49 AM

It wasn't a bad.

7:49 AM

Hold, it was still above 60.

7:49 AM

Or 7-1-10, okay? But...

7:49 AM

Ideally, you probably wanted to go closer to here. So what happened here?

7:49 AM

What did this imply?

7:49 AM

What was your next area that you wanted to really break?

Okay.

Do you see what I'm saying?

7:50 AM

You guys just try answering at least. I just want you guys to start participating because then otherwise it's gonna be the same people every single time.

7:50 AM

Brendan, do you at least see it?

7:50 AM

Do you see what they did there?

7:50 AM

odds slightly started to increase, but they did something very, very specific, okay.

7:50 AM

Especially when they brought up like the 4.75 beneath these ranges, or above, they clearly breech by 1-1.75 points. So what could that imply on-upside?

7:50 AM

to clearly.

7:50 AM

and in specific to Lake Us Morning.

7:51 AM

break these ranges here, okay?

7:51 AM

Specifically, these ranges here.

7:51 AM

which is kind of where they started pushing, close to 2-8.

7:51 AM

What was your target, though?

7:51 AM

I'm going to issue that Bitcoin report today. I haven't draft it, but I want to add some more detail to it.

7:51 AM

because it's still holding that mark.

7:51 AM

Um,

7:51 AM

exoems coming back to this big spot here too just as an FYI 149 is huge these are the targets I put out last week

7:51 AM

It's basically the rinse and re-pea of our spots.

7:51 AM

This is.

7:51 AM

Okay guys, what was our overnight target here, 17132, okay? So.

7:52 AM

Very, very likely that they probably eat.

7:52 AM

Install that range, okay, back in here.

7:52 AM

That's exactly in a pullback I was thinking that they would do. A little bit less than you'd want to probably hold, so we'll see.

7:52 AM

Okay.

7:52 AM

So roughly 1 to 1.75 points here.

7:52 AM

What about entail?

7:52 AM

early stalling 7132.

7:52 AM

Correct? Like?

7:52 AM

and it's very, very clear.

7:52 AM

what does this usually end up doing?

7:52 AM

This treats a lot of back and forth.

7:52 AM

what do they do the second time around?

7:52 AM

after stalling that range.

7:53 AM

they brought it back to the appropriate place, right?

7:53 AM

and then proceeded to break, but they didn't close above. That was something I noticed. They actually didn't close above the three, too.

7:53 AM

which I think needs to be noted.

7:53 AM

until...

7:53 AM

be closer to here but this is the same thing.

7:53 AM

Okay.

7:53 AM

That's likely why they didn't break to 38.

7:53 AM

one. Obviously two one hold would have been.

7:53 AM

you guys get what I'm saying. I feel like price action is so important to understand how and why they break in the in the way that they do. The only positive thing here I think was that they actually held up both to two.

7:53 AM

or two to hold would have been the best case scenario, but...

7:53 AM

This was still a pretty.

7:53 AM

pretty decent hold. Okay, so 3-8 stall.

7:53 AM

20 whole old versus 2 2 but still wasn't I would have preferred 71 22 but it's still okay.

7:54 AM

It's exact same range, okay?

7:54 AM

and they ended up pushing same sort of idea here, stalled slightly, same sort of reduction here. We probably would have won the whole tree, they pushed 4-4, they saved it for...

7:54 AM

basically the real-time session open.

7:54 AM

and this is probably...

7:54 AM

And this has just been like the constant theme of like these tiny pushbacks.

7:54 AM

why they stall six, one, okay?

7:54 AM

Let's see what happens here. We need some news to bring us to 71.

7:54 AM

28-71-32, that was the area that we were looking for.

7:55 AM

That's Marya here.

7:55 AM

with some odds of getting it.

7:55 AM

in the upper zone, usually when you have, like,

7:55 AM

zone to channel to meet down.

7:55 AM

And the reason that they could do that is likely because they they didn't break the full means. Okay, so.

7:55 AM

how many points are we beneath the memes?

7:55 AM

This question you guys at least have to get right. Research, how many points are we beneath the means?

7:55 AM

Specifically to like the full means.

7:55 AM

were at least the areas that I was telling you guys about.

7:55 AM

Intent.

7:55 AM

You should, though, but you should, because I've said them probably a thousand times. You guys should remember the exactories of the memes. It's up until usually 64. And we talked about it yesterday. Usually this is lower four. We talked about this literally yesterday, okay? So.

7:55 AM

No, what do you mean 25.5?

7:56 AM

64, 65, that should be the top of the means, Kate.

7:56 AM

Roughly.

7:56 AM

What kind of logic could you use today, how many points in range?

7:56 AM

Offset.

7:56 AM

Definitely the 4.75, right?

7:56 AM

Then we just looked at.

7:56 AM

that we've seen today.

7:56 AM

Could that be potentially what they stole by based on the theme?

7:56 AM

Yeah, it's great.

7:56 AM

on 171 16 stalls, 171 32 stalls.

7:56 AM

Yes?

7:56 AM

Do you see what I'm saying?

7:56 AM

So what could that imply for some zone odds or channel odds?

7:56 AM

This is a pretty good short back off 5-8, or even off the 5-8 stall.

7:57 AM

I would imagine that this could start implying that they could break back roughly 4.75 points beneath that 32 spot, which is currently what they're doing.

7:57 AM

Okay, so I wanna see you, Phil.

7:57 AM

Basically try sustaining this range here. This is a pretty tough spot.

7:57 AM

Okay, if they do, then this could still get us essentially back to.

7:57 AM

the channel and back to those core ranges.

7:57 AM

which area do we want to see if they hold?

7:57 AM

so they can slightly breach below, which is exactly what they're doing. Which area do we wanna see if they can hold?

7:57 AM

What do you guys think?

7:58 AM

I don't know if it builds something on here.

7:58 AM

Why wouldn't it be a target though?

7:58 AM

What is 7132 from bass theory?

7:58 AM

Yeah, but what else have we talked about yesterday?

7:58 AM

that 7132 was also calculated.

7:58 AM

What is 7132 off-loads?

7:58 AM

I talked about this yesterday.

7:59 AM

Well, that's okay, just try to figure it out.

7:59 AM

and what is it off of highs? Think about it, what is what is 7132 off of?

7:59 AM

and all kinds of things.

7:59 AM

Welcome, hi, so 7186, let's say.

7:59 AM

70.

7:59 AM

current low of the soul.

7:59 AM

85, whatever that spot is.

7:59 AM

and calculate it low.

7:59 AM

There is the week 7080, 7081.

7:59 AM

just give me a second because I want to make sure that way.

7:59 AM

because this should not fail.

8:00 AM

What kind of race shows guys that we're working with here?

8:00 AM

We talked about it yesterday, I'll open.

8:00 AM

We said these are 50 point ratio of so far.

8:00 AM

and hand.

8:00 AM

it's definitely there.

8:00 AM

I haven't resummarized yesterday's opening stream, but...

8:00 AM

What's the mid ratios?

8:00 AM

Here we go again.

8:00 AM

Yes, exactly, OK.

8:01 AM

Okay, so...

8:01 AM

That's not how it works.

8:01 AM

to year.

8:01 AM

Okay, so then what kind of ratios would they align with that spot, specifically to?

8:01 AM

Do you see what I'm saying?

8:01 AM

Maybe I should make these different colors alone.

8:01 AM

She said I mean.

8:02 AM

So I feel like over from this specific low, ideally you wanted to hold 3738.

8:02 AM

Does that make sense?

8:02 AM

versus.

8:02 AM

and then closer to the 5-8 should be around the 5.

8:02 AM

7-1-43-44.

8:02 AM

I need my screen guys, because I'm...

8:02 AM

send you post the chart.

8:02 AM

And I'm sure you guys can measure off highs and lows on your own, you don't need me to show you how to do that.

8:02 AM

So do you see how they kind of took that area there is kind of like a mid or range like core ratio, it's not.

8:02 AM

It's not a course, like it is a course fall, but it's like a mid core range. 7132 is also the top of the zone using base theory anyway.

8:02 AM

in that area there. So.

8:02 AM

and its pretty clear once they kind of stalled.

8:02 AM

four, three.

8:02 AM

or 8, this was the talk of the channel following.

8:03 AM

like just using base theory.

8:03 AM

and the 5E.

8:03 AM

here.

8:03 AM

five one stalls, you can kind of see them here.

8:03 AM

and then here.

8:03 AM

here.

8:03 AM

Notice how many points they stalled if I too. Someone's mic is on guys, I don't know who's but.

8:03 AM

How many points did they stall at each end by?

8:03 AM

and specifically the lake.

8:03 AM

the channel and the zone.

8:03 AM

is around that 2.25, 2.5 point ratio, okay.

8:03 AM

Oh my god.

8:03 AM

So I would say if they bring this back, beneath that 2-4, 2-2.

8:04 AM

was probably when I'd start raising a bit of concerns.

8:04 AM

here.

8:04 AM

If we look at it from where they initially sustained earlier this morning, like off of

8:04 AM

Seems like support is around that 2-5 range. Let me turn on my screen again to show you guys.

8:04 AM

Do you see this?

8:04 AM

So if we measure kind of exact, either way, this is still a really good short off 5.8.

8:04 AM

I didn't capture it off 5-8 but I did capture it off the 4-8 stall.

8:04 AM

Bye.

8:04 AM

So once you start hitting close to this range in here, this is where volatility can obviously increase. Okay? And specific to our bull zone, which is...

8:04 AM

here.

8:04 AM

So remember how earlier I said back in here, like,

8:05 AM

they had risked out to 20, but then they held 20.

8:05 AM

but then they held 20.

8:05 AM

This is a very important question, that's okay. Remember back in here how I said that they had risk to 20?

8:05 AM

Why do you guys think that is?

8:05 AM

Yeah, and 25 makes sense, Brennan, because that's the 4.75 offset. That's the, what I'm trying to get at here. Look.

8:05 AM

Why do you think they did that? They held it two point buffer.

8:05 AM

Hey, boy.

8:05 AM

You have to think about that. Why do they give a buffer right here?

8:05 AM

So what Brendan is saying is perfect because that aligns with exactly what I'm getting at here. This is the 4.75 off the bull zone, which is off that 20 area, which would be 7125, 7125, 7575. So that that's a pretty big spot right there.

8:05 AM

but why do I think they left a two-point buffer?

8:06 AM

Come on, you guys.

8:06 AM

That's a very easy answer, obviously, obviously they want to reduce risk in real time.

8:06 AM

Clearly, they want to try to reduce risk. If they already have failed to hold $71.20 or test at $71.20 pre-market, how high are odds of holding $71.20 in real time?

8:06 AM

Okay.

8:06 AM

pretty low, okay? At least this gives us somewhat of a buffer zone.

8:06 AM

This is going to be the hardest part in the session today because we're trying to decipher.

8:06 AM

Okay.

8:06 AM

If 7115 to 7120 area holds.

8:06 AM

because technically it could...

8:06 AM

Could they technically take this lower, but then still assisting like right in between?

8:06 AM

and the reason I say that is basically based off where they stalled in the means and just so much range, we actually have.

8:07 AM

Another way of looking at this, actually, you guys is...

8:07 AM

the differential between.

8:07 AM

where they stalled and where they closed. Oh wow, that is 4.75, that's insane.

8:07 AM

So I didn't look at that yet, but that's pretty crazy. So.

8:07 AM

I wonder if that kind of just...

8:07 AM

like this here should be the 4.75.

8:07 AM

Which is around our 80, but I wonder off.

8:07 AM

here.

8:07 AM

I just wanna apply 4.75 off opening range, like beneath it.

8:07 AM

Okay.

8:07 AM

And...

8:07 AM

can someone write that, but that's off opening range and then above it.

8:07 AM

watch.

8:07 AM

should be that.

8:08 AM

Oh, six area.

8:08 AM

Yeah.

8:08 AM

This is a ugly though, this is calculated the way that you're wording that though is is not right because this is exactly the kind of price action you would want to see on a 5 8 4 8 stall and coming back many 3 8 4 4 or 3 3

8:08 AM

of doing what?

8:08 AM

And this is the same exact scenario that we discussed earlier.

8:08 AM

What kind of what kind of day are we in?

8:08 AM

not, I wouldn't call it Chob.

8:09 AM

because this is still very clean action. It's a range date. It's a lot of back and forth price action, okay? So you will have to know where you're gonna take it back and forth, okay?

8:09 AM

So what better place to take it back and forth installing 5859, leaving 4.75 in range off.

8:09 AM

Friday is closed, okay, or off the top of the means.

8:09 AM

and taking it back to 7120's.

8:09 AM

because if they held 71.32, 71.33,

8:09 AM

That would have just been more like, that actually is where you could have cholved. Does that make sense?

8:09 AM

Okay, based on what you're saying. That would have been shall because you would have just probably taken it back into the channel and solidate this afternoon.

8:09 AM

whereas taking it back to...

8:09 AM

the 20s, I think starts to like.

8:09 AM

change odds a little bit because it keeps it, it keeps that back and forth volatility alive.

8:09 AM

I tried along off 71-22 you guys, we'll see if they try holding it here, this is a pretty big spot.

8:09 AM

So.

8:10 AM

just because, obviously, they can bring this back down, and the condition was to see if they bring it back, where we're 701-25, what was immediately.

8:10 AM

Because this is the area that basically we have worse to, right? So.

8:10 AM

Let me extend this, like basically this is the area they need to get this back over.

8:10 AM

Okay, this is the area of support.

8:10 AM

This is the area beneath, so think of it like this.

8:10 AM

I feel like sometimes for you guys.

8:10 AM

this is

8:10 AM

color theory works best, okay.

8:10 AM

So which area are you and right now?

8:10 AM

an area that you'd be playing with fire.

8:10 AM

and this, this would make sense, based on.

8:10 AM

the three-two area, so between 2-2-2-2-5.

8:10 AM

which area is this?

8:10 AM

And then I would say once you get it back above three.

8:10 AM

eight, four, three, four, four.

8:11 AM

Okay, what area is this?

8:11 AM

this is why I'm like, that's not how it works.

8:11 AM

like you don't just come all the way back down.

8:11 AM

It's a neutralized risk. Okay, so.

8:11 AM

Thank you.

8:11 AM

Does that make sense, you guys?

8:11 AM

What kind of price action would you want to see her off 171-22?

8:11 AM

and specifically to keep this.

8:11 AM

inside, okay. So,

8:11 AM

I would say that this is a pretty good hold.

8:11 AM

and specifically off that 171-16 risk area that we talked about earlier.

8:11 AM

Okay, we'll be right back in here.

8:12 AM

Remember in here, remember the pre-market fail?

8:12 AM

But with that being said, you have to break back seven point four point seven five almost immediately, which they they did.

8:12 AM

Okay, back to, sorry, 2526.

8:12 AM

It still a very, very tight spot though, so I'm being a bit cautious.

8:12 AM

because failing here could imply taking it back to where.

8:12 AM

that area of risk rate 70, basically 70 98 to 71 or 6.

8:13 AM

Price action in general, though today was pretty good. I didn't take the short back off here, just cause I wanted to see how they'd react back to this range in here.

8:13 AM

but when they failed at 555-6, I figured that this is probably a good place to take it, especially when they started coming back and feeling 5-2-5-4. This is where I took the short.

8:13 AM

Okay, and then they tried pushing it back here.

8:13 AM

installed, I had two contracts enter here.

8:13 AM

And then I...

8:13 AM

on that break.

8:13 AM

got stopped out from there.

8:13 AM

And then I just re-entered the long right here, so.

8:13 AM

I'll cover half the short position if they bring this back over, I would save.

8:13 AM

Okay.

8:13 AM

Back over three, eight, four, three.

8:14 AM

I just put this in the slot.

8:14 AM

this really is a thing.

8:14 AM

So what do you guys think? Let's do a poll.

8:15 AM

So I don't think that we would even retest the 78 spot personally today. I don't think so just because of 20 it never really had high odds. And I feel like if they brought it all the way to 5.8 then.

8:15 AM

Probably not but you guys already know that this is

8:15 AM

What was one of the big things that we talked about yesterday in this morning?

8:15 AM

What was one probability?

8:15 AM

Okay.

8:15 AM

how with this probability.

8:15 AM

And we're pleased.

8:16 AM

So this is where you're deciding, okay?

8:16 AM

What are some, what are, what are some things working against us? So give me two things for a full downside retest.

8:16 AM

What are some reasons why they might not do that?

8:16 AM

Give me the conditions in between.

8:16 AM

You have to have bold, if you can, if you can.

8:16 AM

let's not have the market work, if the market work like that then everyone would be, everyone would be rich.

8:16 AM

Okay, so what are the two things working against that from happening?

8:17 AM

Yes. Exactly. And we're also in an inside day, right? So those are two things that are working against us. A third thing is what?

8:17 AM

based on flips this week.

8:17 AM

Did the 20s have a very high odds of being the day that breaks range?

8:17 AM

and clearly we know to break range, we have to break beneath 70-80, okay. So,

8:17 AM

No, so odds for today's date weren't that high. So write those down alive. You're not trading. Can you put those on the chat? Those three things.

8:17 AM

We tested 7.159.

8:17 AM

the 20th is not going to be breaking out of range, okay, which would be breaking 70, 80, 81, whatever, and the third thing being that

8:17 AM

Um.

8:17 AM

The one we obviously still have time but

8:17 AM

also being stuck in an inside day, so.

8:17 AM

Okay, now, what would the conditions be in between? What would you have to do for that to happen, or for it to not happen?

8:18 AM

So give me the conditions because this is where you'd have to form them.

8:18 AM

And for starters, by the way, this is a mid-forer.

8:18 AM

By the way, so the 5950 is mid-Cover.

8:18 AM

but just FYI for those that don't know that. That's a mid-core. This is what.

8:18 AM

Okay.

8:18 AM

for.

8:18 AM

And I, you know, what?

8:18 AM

I need to maybe let's just do this. I feel like some of you might understand it like this. Okay, Plenty's.

8:18 AM

lower core, OK, this mid.

8:18 AM

This upper, okay, does that make sense?

8:18 AM

Your 20s are linked to 50s, which are linked to 70s and 80s, okay?

8:18 AM

So you can think of it as like if you hold hold.

8:18 AM

more or more ranges.

8:18 AM

beer or chest.

8:18 AM

nip core ranges, which we did at the 50s. Oggs too.

8:18 AM

What?

8:18 AM

because we still have this odd on, technically, if you hold here.

8:18 AM

Give me that odd.

8:19 AM

that odd.

8:19 AM

Thank you very much.

8:19 AM

What was the purpose of today's session?

8:19 AM

No.

8:19 AM

No.

8:19 AM

That's not the purpose of today's session. We're not looking to retest 71.80 today.

8:19 AM

The purpose of this week, yes, maybe by tomorrow, or by the 22nd, yes. Okay, today's session, no, that's not what I'm looking for.

8:19 AM

What are we looking to do?

8:19 AM

Pacific to the session.

8:19 AM

If you hold these ranges here.

8:20 AM

XLM Trigger, that 149-20, and then kind of came back.

8:20 AM

Well, when you guys figure out what you're supposed to do here then.

8:20 AM

then we'll talk, but that wasn't the purpose of today's session. What was the purpose of today's session?

8:20 AM

And what are the conditions that are required?

8:20 AM

for you to either retest 7085, or for you to avoid that from happening. You have to give me both conditions.

8:21 AM

and specifically off this area here, this is the area that you would be setting those conditions in.

8:21 AM

and obviously based on a very important factor that's coming up soon.

8:21 AM

I hope you guys don't trade as fast as you answer questions. Cause that one sucks.

8:21 AM

What's the purpose of today's?

8:21 AM

Bye bye.

8:21 AM

What are we looking to do?

8:21 AM

Yes, that's one, but what else are we looking to do?

8:21 AM

What Friday is closed the best clothes?

8:22 AM

No, okay, so what would you wanna do today? You could still stay stuck inside, doesn't necessarily mean you have to test 7187, or 88, or 92, or 86, okay? But.

8:22 AM

You still could.

8:22 AM

Do what?

8:22 AM

I just...

8:22 AM

And specific to the conditions, which I feel like you guys are struggling to set conditions, which you shouldn't because you guys know the ranges.

8:22 AM

No, we wanna raise that the poll with you guys.

8:22 AM

You want to reset the $69.64 or $71.64 or whatever closed that was.

8:22 AM

How do you guys already forget things from Friday? That was only like two days ago. What areas would have been the better areas to close on Friday?

8:22 AM

We talked about this.

8:22 AM

because if they stalled.

8:23 AM

then we could have had.

8:23 AM

entry zone? What do you mean entry zone?

8:23 AM

What areas would be the best places for them to out Pendo's Friday?

8:23 AM

Yes, that area there, that area is the best area right and whatever we discussed yesterday in the report is fully laid out for you guys too, so there's no excuses. Okay, so.

8:23 AM

for those areas being played today.

8:23 AM

Yes, okay, based on what, what do you have to do right now?

8:23 AM

And specifically before a specific tie and that's coming up in like the next hour.

8:23 AM

ideally.

8:23 AM

Otherwise you could stay zonebound, rangebound. That's where you could start going sideways, okay?

8:23 AM

Yes, exactly. So if you could do that, okay? Even if they take it to the channel, that's fine, but what do you have to do?

8:24 AM

Clearly you have to sustain, okay? That's the first condition.

8:24 AM

immediately retreats.

8:24 AM

Okay.

8:24 AM

We are 7132, retest what?

8:24 AM

I just said this, but

8:24 AM

What do you have to do?

8:24 AM

First spot.

8:24 AM

that you're fetching too far.

8:24 AM

What do you have to retest?

8:25 AM

You don't just go from three, two, to four eight.

8:25 AM

Where did I say I'll cover my short if they start breaking back above? Before that, you're trying to reset what we couldn't do overnight. So overnight they stalled 28.

8:25 AM

and they stole three, six.

8:25 AM

ahead of 4448.

8:25 AM

3, 8. Okay, so this is going to be a big spot right here. Okay?

8:25 AM

Okay.

8:25 AM

us.

8:25 AM

for a better clearance break, you wanna start building and basing. Does that make sense? And you wanna do it without what this time.

8:25 AM

Ideally, it doesn't always work this way, but what would you want to do without this time?

8:26 AM

Mm.

8:26 AM

No, you guys are not getting it, you guys just don't get it, I don't know why. What happened this morning and that happened all after night, like all session overnight and currently in pre-market and in real time? What are you trying to, what would you want to do in terms of price action?

8:26 AM

Yes, you wanna not stall, but stalling, it's not about stalling. It's about where you stall. Okay, what do you wanna reduce? Odds of what?

8:27 AM

And this is where you guys are struggling, you guys just don't get reductions, you don't understand it and it's driving me nuts because I don't know how I'll explain it

8:27 AM

And that's the only way that you will get better at this.

8:27 AM

What would you wanna do?

8:27 AM

Where do you not, what do you not wanna do, actually?

8:27 AM

What do you want to do? What do you not want to do?

8:27 AM

what do you wanna avoid?

8:27 AM

But why, though? I just spent all morning explaining it, though. Why do you guys not get it? If you guys know 7080 is calculated, how can you not understand that there is 4.75 reduction? If you know 7020 is calculated, how do you not know that the 71.16 pre-market stalls is the reduction? If you know 71.32 is calculated, how do you not know that stalling at 71.28? Do you see what I'm saying?

8:27 AM

and the offsetting of risk, so what would you wanna do now in real-time to make price action progressive?

8:27 AM

What do you wanna avoid?

8:28 AM

And they tend to do these things to usually kill time is is the main reason why they do these things or to like offset risk, which obviously overnight they want to do that so that they can keep us sideways until London session and that that made total sense because that's exactly what they ended up doing.

8:28 AM

So now, as we approach mid-session, okay, what do you wanna try avoiding?

8:28 AM

At least try to answer the question guys, I don't care if you get it wrong, but at least try to answer it.

8:28 AM

Yeah, but what?

8:28 AM

You guys, I'm going in circles with you guys. What are you trying to avoid?

8:28 AM

Yes, OK, and you want to avoid these.

8:29 AM

Okay, you wanna have more constructive price action, you don't wanna have these reductions keep going on and on and on, otherwise you're gonna keep getting what kind of price action. But what are these, what is that reduction doing, essentially? This is where you guys are disconnecting the two things.

8:29 AM

What does that do if they kept doing 4.75 reductions all afternoon, especially after mid-session?

8:29 AM

Exactly, and it keeps you what?

8:29 AM

duck, okay, you'd be stuck. You'd be range bound. You get what I'm saying, right? Whereas if you avoid that, then you have a clearance break. You get what I'm saying.

8:29 AM

I don't know why it's so hard to like put that into words, but

8:29 AM

Basically, what I drew earlier for you guys.

8:29 AM

this ever was.

8:29 AM

Remember how he said if they would have just feared properly, then they probably would have had.

8:29 AM

That nice break.

8:29 AM

above, you wouldn't have seen.

8:29 AM

I'm getting this stuck.

8:29 AM

Do you guys remember that?

8:30 AM

I hope you guys remember that, I don't know if you guys do or don't, but anyway.

8:30 AM

This.

8:30 AM

You remember I said this morning if they if they hadn't done this?

8:30 AM

Then you would have probably seen a break like this.

8:30 AM

Okay, maybe a push to three two, maybe then a whole like this, maybe a push like this, that's a clearance break. Do you understand what I'm saying?

8:30 AM

That means we would have probably tested Friday's clothes.

8:30 AM

already, okay? Not stall 67159. Do you get what I'm saying? That's a clear trade. That's a clear break. They wouldn't have stalled here.

8:30 AM

That would have given you the highest odds of probably coming back to retest highs.

8:30 AM

Does that make sense?

8:30 AM

So what are you trying to do?

8:30 AM

You're trying to avoid those reductions so that you can properly do what?

8:30 AM

7144 being tested.

8:31 AM

And what better area to clear than.

8:31 AM

versus off-core.

8:31 AM

Okay.

8:31 AM

Because if you clear off 71.20, you have higher odds of clearing 71.50, 59. You get what I'm saying? That's core to mid core. And if you clear 71.59, then you finally have odds of getting what?

8:31 AM

This is where I think there's a huge disconnect. What would you have odds of doing if you had a proper clearance break like those?

8:32 AM

And timing is obviously the important factor here.

8:32 AM

No!

8:32 AM

Yeah, because you could still revisit them, no.

8:32 AM

Like, essentially, yes, but for today, okay, for today, you guys today, not tomorrow, not the next day today, okay?

8:32 AM

Yes. Okay. Perfect. Okay. Or you could just go, what was Friday's close, what was Friday's close, 61, 64 or something like that.

8:32 AM

there you go, that could probably be our max range.

8:32 AM

you guys figured it out.

8:33 AM

if they, if they breathe.

8:33 AM

They can still recycle this, we have literally.

8:33 AM

two days of potential.

8:33 AM

recycling price action rate.

8:33 AM

If they want to keep this stock, to keep it stock, they would keep it.

8:33 AM

zone, channel, you may be found. That almost always happens when you stay stuck, okay?

8:33 AM

7-88, 7-132, 7-148, 7-164.

8:33 AM

One with this start turning into a continued short.

8:33 AM

or at least back to reset what...

8:34 AM

I think the same is what we'll say.

8:34 AM

which those odds right now so far have reduced based on the fact that they even took out 3-8 and 4-4 on a 7-1-20 hole.

8:34 AM

technically you could still have that probability panel this afternoon.

8:34 AM

based on a few things.

8:34 AM

no closing points yet above 4-4-4-3-50 I think is a little bit calculated but I just have the 4-4-4-4-4-50 marked.

8:35 AM

Give me the three highest probability scenarios for the rest of the session here, based on what you just saw. So they held one 20s, they tested 7158, they opened above 71.

8:35 AM

44.

8:35 AM

which was good. That's exactly what we need at this morning, okay?

8:35 AM

So, don't forget about where they opened, you guys.

8:35 AM

They opened above 7144, 7148.

8:35 AM

which technically speaking the calculated areas around 4344 based on where they open this morning.

8:35 AM

back in here.

8:35 AM

of 4-8.

8:35 AM

This could also be looked at as that calculated type of range. So, and I did say 43.50 is the spot. So,

8:35 AM

what, how could this help us today?

8:36 AM

in terms of mitigating risk not really in terms of like full extensions because otherwise you would have one to open up up five three five two

8:36 AM

because we still open in the channel.

8:36 AM

Okay, hands on this. Okay, bye.

8:36 AM

Okay.

8:36 AM

Hello.

8:36 AM

What could that entail for price action?

8:36 AM

just based on how you would interpret that.

8:36 AM

and Brandon is the only person here that apparently can interpret any of this.

8:36 AM

based on some other responses. Yes, exactly. You open the channels, you can go back and forth. It's still above 4344, so at least gave you that odd of this area here, OK?

8:37 AM

Okay, but you're still in the channel.

8:37 AM

which can keep you wide.

8:37 AM

sideways, right?

8:37 AM

I don't know what else to call it.

8:37 AM

Does that make sense?

8:37 AM

What kind of PA would you want to start seeing now? So you've held 7120. You've tested 3, 8, 4, 4. You haven't quite closed above.

8:37 AM

4-350, uh, 4-350.

8:37 AM

for four is the calculated spot. What would you wanna start doing here?

8:37 AM

And this is where we open, so this is the open.

8:37 AM

This is where it could get really, really boring, okay.

8:38 AM

Yes, exactly. Now you want to start basing above 3132.

8:38 AM

You see it?

8:38 AM

When would you probably wanna clear?

8:38 AM

more for.

8:38 AM

For A-Buy.

8:38 AM

Otherwise, you could stay stuck. Think about it. One would you potentially reset your open?

8:38 AM

Yeah, mid-session. Okay, so your real-time.

8:38 AM

open.

8:38 AM

real time this session, okay, is one.

8:38 AM

One is your mid-session for real time.

internal STT service error (SSRC 7597)

12th 30, 12th 45, exactly. So.

8:39 AM

That window could give you the probability of resetting that.

8:39 AM

Okay.

8:39 AM

Based on what they do, I think during this period, especially for still in the channel.

8:39 AM

break the zone.

8:39 AM

And then I would have a very good idea of what could happen for the second portion of the day. That's where they could keep it stuck, right, where they don't...

8:39 AM

but they also don't break the memes. Do you get what I'm saying? They keep it in between. And that's usually what causes delays, especially if there's higher.

8:39 AM

probability windows.

8:39 AM

which we already know is the case.

8:39 AM

for potentially tomorrow.

8:39 AM

Okay.

8:39 AM

one is a seven day flip this lives on the 23rd, so

8:39 AM

21st, 22st, and already said had higher odds, anyway.

8:39 AM

to the public.

8:39 AM

on the 20th.

8:39 AM

second, the slips on the 23rd. So 21st, 22nd half.

8:39 AM

slightly higher odds, okay?

8:39 AM

two days also stuck inside, and it's on the sixth bar.

8:40 AM

what better area to digest than where, where if you're trying to digest highs, what better area would you want to digest, specifically on a six bar ahead of a seven bar potential extension. I know, Brendan, I hope you took that long, because you sent me that like a month ago.

8:40 AM

That's insane.

8:40 AM

What better area guys to digest in a channel right and I happen to actually look back at this but

8:41 AM

On this is very similar to third bars. Okay, so between the 10 and the 14th, obviously, we know the 13th at the highest odds of breaking range, which

8:41 AM

If you guys remember on the 13th, they did. So if we look back at this,

8:41 AM

on the 13th.

8:41 AM

and on the 10th, what kind of price action did we have? So 13, very similar, we have the core gap down.

8:41 AM

And then they brought it.

8:41 AM

the channel they didn't really digest the channel on the 13th.

8:41 AM

and fully swept, which made sense based on the dynamics that we had, okay?

8:41 AM

Do you see this? This is what a boy did that.

8:41 AM

here.

8:41 AM

Do you see how it was a boy little, you guys?

8:41 AM

Look.

8:41 AM

Do you see how digestion here was avoided?

8:41 AM

between.

8:41 AM

the 10th.

8:41 AM

and the 13th.

8:42 AM

and instead they held above 6846, which was our calculated range.

8:42 AM

Okay, and then they brought it back above 68 32.

8:42 AM

Do you guys see that?

8:42 AM

29, whatever. After doing the exact same thing that they're doing right now, it's just in a different zone. Do you see how they brought it to core and then they held these neutral spots?

8:42 AM

It's very similar PA except this time around.

8:42 AM

do we wanna digest the channel? Think about it.

8:42 AM

We had already previously tested 6840s, 30s a lot, right? So it's not like, it's not really an area that we'd need to digest, right? This is...

8:42 AM

a pretty digestive spot anyway, we already had done it.

8:42 AM

back in here on the 8th, we did a ton of digestion on the 8th, 9th, okay. So

8:42 AM

what would be the difference this time around? It's almost the same exact thing and it's your third, sixth bar, okay? So...

8:43 AM

key a.

8:43 AM

behavior is similar. Okay, there's an understanding of what I'm saying. So

8:43 AM

This time around null.

8:43 AM

because.

8:43 AM

You definitely want to try digesting the channel a little bit.

8:43 AM

Bye.

8:43 AM

have we ever engaged in this channel before?

8:43 AM

No. Okay. If we want to get a 7188 break, okay, into another zone, would you really want to do that without ever digesting this channel before?

8:44 AM

No, because you're not thinking forward. Because in the event of volatility, if you let's say realistically did something like that, what could you end up doing? And we've seen this happen before. Remember that past channel in the past that was never digested and I said they're gonna come back and digest this at some point. And it's gonna end up being a pretty nasty.

8:44 AM

They might have been here.

8:44 AM

drop when they come back and do that. I don't remember exactly what channel it was. I think it might have been

8:44 AM

and then they did.

8:44 AM

This channel here, remember it was never digested. Betis popped it back.

8:44 AM

Okay, it's all the means.

8:44 AM

and then, of course, when it failed.

8:44 AM

Okay, then they had this nasty reversal. So you don't want that happening again.

8:44 AM

because breakdowns happen a lot quicker.

8:44 AM

and especially if you start hitting into like a new zone because

8:44 AM

That would be a much steeper fall. Does that make sense? Because what could a new zone trigger?

8:44 AM

If you break 8, 8, 9, 2, 9, 3, let's say.

8:44 AM

Look kind of a break of that trigger.

8:44 AM

if they had just continued pushing this without any sort of digestive price action.

8:45 AM

What could that be too?

8:45 AM

especially with a 7th bar approaching.

8:45 AM

Yeah, but what kind of PA could that lead to? If you did something like that, without any digestible information?

8:45 AM

specifically in a channel that you've never tested before.

8:45 AM

and especially if they avoid.

8:45 AM

this breakdown from happening this week, okay, if this is avoided.

8:45 AM

What would happen then?

8:45 AM

Do you see what I'm saying?

8:45 AM

Worst Katie, because this is...

8:45 AM

I find it like that 69.20 is that.

8:45 AM

Do you understand what I'm saying? That's what would cause like a much bigger and volatile break.

8:45 AM

And that would kind of like suffice that.

8:45 AM

Bye.

8:45 AM

pattern that Brandon was talking about last week.

8:46 AM

with the megaphone.

8:46 AM

and this would be like a 346 point break, basically.

8:46 AM

That makes sense.

8:46 AM

or even, like, four.

8:46 AM

for 56.

8:46 AM

357.

8:46 AM

Hopefully, that makes sense.

8:46 AM

At the kind of PA you'd get though if they were to do something like that. So, sometimes you have to think ahead, you don't want to just be...

8:46 AM

Like, thinking, oh, okay, well, we want to get out of here.

8:46 AM

if you get there, but that's not necessarily.

8:46 AM

better for future PA. So you have to think about your future PA. And it's specific to like the time relevance. So like not digesting the channel.

8:46 AM

between April 20th and 21st.

8:47 AM

heavily increases risk. Does that make sense? For the 24th or 28th period. Risk heavily increased if gentle is not digested during.

8:47 AM

is very interesting.

8:47 AM

20 to 22nd.

8:47 AM

Does that make sense, you guys?

8:47 AM

You can't always think.

8:47 AM

ahead, you have to like understand how current price behavior, okay, it's not just about price action or price points, price behavior at a specific point in time is going to impact your future price action, okay.

8:47 AM

Bye.

8:47 AM

Okay, I'm going to shut down the stream in here. I might stream later this afternoon. I'll let you guys know.

8:47 AM

So far, I'm just going to manage this long position off 2-2. I did cover a big majority of the story. I only have a few contracts left. So I don't know if I may have to re-enter. But and that was off the five.

8:48 AM

five, two, four, eight entry. I took a law off when they,

8:48 AM

came back to 7-1-20.

8:48 AM

22, 25, but...

8:48 AM

but I also covered more when they broke 38.

8:48 AM

So.

8:48 AM

_ms_izzy disconnected

8:48 AM

it'll just be whatever is left for, like, break even, I guess.

clark_kronos disconnected

Guys, don't join here, please.

10:17 AM

Don't, don't join here. I'm going to.

Cynthia disconnected

friend and I know you like to stay in here, but I'm going to disconnect everyone else.

10:17 AM

I just wanted to record at least that way the bot can record notes it makes it easier for like people that miss the stream if they want to go back and watch, but okay.

10:18 AM

But I'm not okay with like 50 people listening in on here and then like 10 people on Twitch. You know what I mean? Because I'm like, what? I think that that that doesn't help me in any waste shape or form.

10:18 AM

and especially if it's going to take away from...

10:18 AM

my actual trading, so.

10:18 AM

Okay, which, which, which?

10:18 AM

Guys, I went live on Twitch.

10:18 AM

we're...

10:18 AM

I'm gonna pull up my stream somewhere, you'll don't.

10:18 AM

Okay.

10:18 AM

Thanks, Brendan.

10:18 AM

Okay, remember what I was saying earlier, how because we had kind of like that.

10:19 AM

there are the flips on the actual session lows. Obviously they're right at session are linked to 10 AM. So, my thoughts were, because they hit highs at 9.56, 9.57 AM.

10:19 AM

technically we could maybe have a three to four minute window, okay.

10:19 AM

poster

10:19 AM

post 1-15, 1-15 being our mid session. Okay, so calculated times right here at 3-18, 3-17.

10:19 AM

Yum.

10:19 AM

or sorry, not for 18, 118 PM.

10:19 AM

This makes sense based off high of day and session lows.

10:19 AM

or a retest here of 7144, can someone document this, please? This is that exact three to four-minute interval.

10:19 AM

I was talking about sold.

10:19 AM

Blime.

10:19 AM

This right here, I noticed that there was a three, four minute interval off session high session lows.

10:19 AM

on the next.

10:20 AM

and I figured that we could likely see something similar.

10:20 AM

So I would consider even though the actual session, mid-session is 115 today, it's actually 118. Does that make sense?

10:20 AM

due to warding highs.

10:20 AM

And session lows. So I would say that condition was met. They at least tested 7144, but I don't like that they didn't close above and you can see like that direct volatility. They did at least take it above.

10:20 AM

seven, one, four, three this time, because I noticed that back in here, they couldn't close over there.

10:20 AM

I don't remember what are.

10:20 AM

continued cycles were, but I'm pretty sure most of them were kind of late. We'll start with 148, 156, 208, pretty sure we had a window right here, but I didn't market.

10:21 AM

and the rest of these were very, very late in the session. Those were two like three. Why did I delete them? 256, I think, was it?

10:21 AM

Right? Yes. 3-1, 3-9, 3-12, 3-31, and then the rest were super late, but where did those median time frames go? How can I delete them?

10:21 AM

That's annoying.

10:21 AM

Make sure I'm not missing anything.

10:21 AM

254, on 254.

10:21 AM

155

10:21 AM

in 316.

10:21 AM

Yes.

10:21 AM

We have 360 marked.

10:21 AM

So it's 1,255 or 54.

10:21 AM

and

10:21 AM

54.

10:21 AM

155, I don't.

10:21 AM

why do you have 155, okay?

10:21 AM

So do you guys see that immediate reduction stick that follows?

10:21 AM

They tend to keep doing things like this one.

10:22 AM

Unfortunately, they want to stall, especially if it's like right at a berry.

10:22 AM

calculated point in time, because otherwise that could have tried coming back retesting for five.

10:22 AM

for seven.

10:22 AM

And specifically if they cleared 4-4.

10:22 AM

kind of like your.

10:22 AM

which would have given it either, basically retesting today's open. It deleted today's opening range too, which was...

10:22 AM

4-8, right?

10:22 AM

worms today's average.

10:22 AM

Okay.

10:23 AM

So you can see just how

10:23 AM

they made this kind of like a sideways type of day. Guys, if you're not listening on Twitch, you're gonna get this connection on here, because I only turned this on, so that it can at least record my notes for me.

10:23 AM

but if you're sure you did, and you just like the sound on Discord, better, that's fine, but

10:23 AM

I'm not okay with like a bunch of people tuning in on here and not on there because it doesn't make any sense for me to stream at that point.

10:23 AM

especially in realtime. After hours, I don't care. Like, notice on Sunday streams, weekend streams, late, I don't really care. But realtime, if I'm taking away from my own trading and positions, then it only makes sense just stream on Twitch.

10:23 AM

but if you're on both then that's fine too.

10:23 AM

Yeah, because it doesn't make sense like it's like 40 of you guys are watching me on discord. What the hell is the point in that?

10:24 AM

Thanks guys, there's not that many people tuned in on there right now.

10:24 AM

But you shouldn't get ads if you subbed with your pride.

I left the voice channel to prevent abuse of our systems. Just run /join again to have me join. Check out Premium https://scripty.org/premium if you'd like to increase how long I stay for before leaving.

or I'll gift it to you, Noble Mommas, if you want. The only issue with Twitch is I think you have to resub.

This transcript was automatically sent to all users who spoke in the voice chat.

transcript.txt

65.41 KB

A transcript session was started ⁨4/20/2026 10:26 AM⁩.

is.

10:26 AM

the mid-session for the actual session, okay.

10:26 AM

We triggered highs.

10:26 AM

from like session open to session close, this is the median time range, but something I did today was notice when we hit right here, so in correlation to session lows, which was exactly when the session opened at 6 p.m. I noticed that when looking at those time intervals, obviously 10 a.m. would be the common flip like on a two hour, three hour, 96 minute, do you see what I'm saying?

10:27 AM

at 9.56, 9.57 am, so I figured they could maybe do the same thing. Okay, where if they don't clear maybe at 1.15, they could try testing our 71.44, 71.43.

10:27 AM

this area here. Maybe three to four minutes after that 15 minute mark, like the 150 marks. So

10:27 AM

right in here.

10:27 AM

and that's exactly what they did. Had they done this a bit earlier, I think that would have been better for odds in terms of clearing, so for instance, if they broke.

10:27 AM

four minutes ahead.

10:27 AM

they likely would have.

10:27 AM

of 115, like those are like 11112.

10:27 AM

But we don't really have very, very high odds today of clearing the channel.

10:27 AM

Super early, especially.

10:27 AM

considering the odds for the week.

10:28 AM

Do you think that this was progressive price action, though, in the sense that they at least tested 7144 by mid session?

10:28 AM

I know it doesn't really do anything for price, but....

10:28 AM

and the windows are very delayed. Like if they stall at this point in time, which they're doing so far, this is what can continue.

10:28 AM

delaying a breakout of this channel, which is, like, this pagebox all the way through to, like, basically, through a box.

10:28 AM

Right, and then the latest odds we have are after the close, unfortunately, okay, they're after four. So.

10:28 AM

How important do you think this period is yours, specifically between 115-118 and just after two o'clock?

10:28 AM

for premium basis.

10:28 AM

If you're trading same-day explorations, let's say off 7120s.

10:29 AM

This is where we went long off 71.22.

10:29 AM

That was an idea to hold core.

10:29 AM

So this is these areas here are these green spots.

10:29 AM

Okay, these are lower core ranges. They stalled mid core ranges.

10:29 AM

We wanna see if they can get it back to year, but that's gonna take some work, obviously.

10:29 AM

It's very dumb down. We are looking at this as honestly, if you stall right here again, but then you come back beneath 3-8.

10:29 AM

and 3-6.

10:29 AM

you're likely just going to keep delaying and it's probably going to do the same thing. The only issue is this point in time, you might be at risk of retesting beneath 3132, which if you do, that's what puts

10:29 AM

7122 back at risk.

10:30 AM

which could be something they do if they don't clear this.

10:30 AM

just before we're just after two, because...

10:30 AM

That's quite a long time from now, from here until, like, 255 through a block, if you think what it does.

10:30 AM

That's at least an hour and a half.

10:30 AM

two hours.

10:30 AM

tool.

10:30 AM

Yeah, two hours.

10:30 AM

an hour and a half, that's quite a long time.

10:30 AM

to basically be stuck.

10:30 AM

I would say these next.

10:30 AM

20, 30 minutes are pretty vital. I wasn't gonna stream this afternoon, after streaming this morning just cause.

10:30 AM

I don't like channel days like this, like they're very very boring and it's a lot of talking for nothing so

10:30 AM

other swing trades.

10:30 AM

I would rather wait for another day on another note.

10:31 AM

these were all ones that I did off the scan and I did that crypto scan last Saturday. I think it was April 11th, which by the way I'll post it on Substack tonight for whoever didn't join that but this was one of the traits

10:31 AM

of that 738 clearance to this 922 they were buying specifically April 24th in May 1st strike so and today they started buying leaps for January for what did we say it was you guys for January leaps.

10:31 AM

And you were able to let me just double check.

10:31 AM

January.

10:31 AM

Leaps.

10:31 AM

Oh, $10 or $12 reliefs.

10:31 AM

or January.

10:31 AM

which I found interesting.

10:31 AM

And then another name that came up almost can with

10:31 AM

crypto, like for this break back, here was some of the older

10:31 AM

EV names, like plug.

10:31 AM

And...

10:31 AM

This one was specifically me first I think I said.

10:32 AM

that they were buying?

10:32 AM

Where is it?

10:32 AM

And.

10:32 AM

Hmm.

10:32 AM

No, it may eat, sorry.

10:32 AM

May 8th and that was the 250 goals because

10:32 AM

They were picking these up on

10:32 AM

in here. Okay, do you see that off the 268275? So the idea was if they can sustain above this area here, this is where they are accumulating, this is where they could clear. And 250, they are pretty in the money, they were extremely inexpensive too, if you think about it, because they were the 250 strike.

10:32 AM

For me, eighth, okay, when it was trading at the money.

10:32 AM

for 40, I think there are 44 cents or something like that.

10:32 AM

They were pretty inexpensive, so...

10:33 AM

and the ideal was to peer her to 3, 16, 3, 21.

10:33 AM

something I noticed, too, in terms of range on this one.

10:33 AM

Let me just set some alerts on this, though, just in case they.

10:33 AM

Hold on.

10:33 AM

I'll set both sides, I don't know if they're gonna clear.

10:33 AM

either or right now, but.

10:33 AM

important to watch the 3-2-4-4.

10:33 AM

Tutu Mark.

10:33 AM

Okay, so back to plug this one here.

10:33 AM

You see how

10:33 AM

Okay, this is when they started buying, okay? You see here how they kind of...

10:33 AM

It was like a six-sense breach beneath that too.

10:33 AM

75.

10:33 AM

Do you want to see that?

10:34 AM

Yes, everyone sees that. Okay, I figured that they would likely stall almost the same on the upside. So our target was at 316 area.

10:34 AM

Okay.

10:34 AM

Do you see this?

10:34 AM

So based on range theory technically, this is still...

10:34 AM

This is not the only one that mentioned it earlier.

10:34 AM

within this means. So a point six breach makes sense that they likely weren't going to trigger 316 right away. Eddie, you might want to watch this or write this down. I don't know if you're trading this.

10:34 AM

Based on today's session, it's closer to like 3, 13.

10:34 AM

Okay, so in the event that they come back and retestize.

10:34 AM

I think that's technically enough to be considered.

10:34 AM

like a viable range for the session today.

10:35 AM

and so far this is quite perfect range. If they can clear 316,

10:35 AM

321, 322, that's where this could really extend. Okay, all the way to like that 350, 360-year-age. I'm not sure if this has the momentum to do it all today, but...

10:35 AM

They weren't looking for explorations until one pendant.

10:35 AM

into me.

10:35 AM

This one here is installed at 922, so I should probably set an alert on this one too. Idea was if they can hold above 835, 850, it could come back and try retesting, so...

10:35 AM

This one was also extremely inexpensive for the contracts.

10:35 AM

They were buying April 17th, April 24th, and May 1st on this one.

10:35 AM

I did the April 24th on this one because it just made a bit more sense.

10:35 AM

But technically speaking, you could have also done the...

10:36 AM

May 1st and they did a really good job sustaining this box range in here. 738 was the area that I mentioned as the clearance break

10:36 AM

Along with 760, they kind of stole 760 here.

10:36 AM

Yes, I think we should likely look at the range reduction from.

10:36 AM

our mid-sessions here just to get an idea of how much range they're actually reducing this by.

10:36 AM

because I can already tell that. So this would have been the first target, how they cleared 4448 back to the means at like 71, 51, 52, 53.

10:36 AM

on the index.

10:36 AM

So you can already see that they're doing everything they can to basically burn premiums this afternoon.

10:36 AM

Oil had a decent move. We did look at repositioning into some oil plays on Friday.

10:37 AM

I didn't do much though on the the oil hatch.

10:37 AM

just because I think Solos only want to took that, but...

10:37 AM

And maybe Booth, I think Booth might have taken that too.

10:37 AM

but I was essentially looking.

10:37 AM

to see if they would basically...

10:37 AM

position just a little bit. So this was, I would say this is more of a short term hedge back to our 148, 149, 150. These are initial targets before the breaks to 170 on XOM.

10:37 AM

Okay, like back in here, especially when they kind of stalled this range in here.

10:37 AM

I don't know if I have mine.

10:37 AM

I don't know where my sealed shirt is off to find that.

10:37 AM

This isn't it. Optical back and find the CL chart, but

10:37 AM

kind of the same idea.

10:37 AM

on excellent. I wanted to basically see if they had hold.

10:38 AM

close to this 142. See how they stalled 152, 88, 152, 91. These were our calculated 21 point intervals. I'm pretty sure on X-O-M, that we...

10:38 AM

We did way back before it ever cleared highs, like back down in here, off 110, 112.

10:38 AM

So this is not, it's a good area, but without them clearing this, then.

10:38 AM

They're likely not going to get that second light up. This is going to be a huge indication, by the way, if oil fails, these ranges in here. So, like, let's say XOM fails.

10:38 AM

our previous long ranges of 147 to 152.

10:38 AM

That's a huge leading indication now.

10:38 AM

Yes, we'll continue to retest twice.

10:38 AM

Okay.

10:38 AM

which makes sense because it would be inverse.

10:38 AM

cause really any news.

10:39 AM

that comes out in terms of.

10:39 AM

like geopolitical risk is going to impact what sector.

10:39 AM

I'm just gonna set this on your tube just in case.

10:39 AM

which sector would be at risk in the event that there was geopolitical risk.

10:39 AM

you should be watching this.

10:39 AM

as you should be watching this if we come back and start clearing back over 428 on the 10 year.

10:39 AM

USDCAD is still seeing a downturn, so this could help, actually.

10:39 AM

Nobody knows?

10:39 AM

Well, if you guys don't know that, then you probably shouldn't be day trading.

10:40 AM

I feel like I don't even have to be a traitor to know that.

10:40 AM

oil. Okay. Oil is going to be heavily impacted if there was any signs of any sort of political risk coming up. Okay. And if there were any, like, ceasefire.

10:40 AM

agreements or

10:40 AM

or rejected any. Okay, that's a good sign too. We can kind of keep watching for that but.

10:40 AM

And you could maybe even overlay the index against root and you could essentially see.

10:41 AM

Okay.

10:41 AM

You can see the divergence between the two. It's pretty obvious.

10:41 AM

You see other kind of intertwining right here.

10:41 AM

Yeah, exactly. It's almost kind of making this memeable.

10:41 AM

I'm basically.

10:42 AM

you

10:42 AM

until we can cover her.

10:42 AM

I have that draft that I just wanted to add a few more things.

10:42 AM

All right, you see what they're doing here.

10:42 AM

That's exactly what we were just talking about.

10:42 AM

that they stall 4 or 4 over the whole time.

10:42 AM

like we'll reach us free six.

10:42 AM

three, eight. Once they start feeling this range in here, though, I think that's where risk will start to increase, specifically if they bring it back beneath, free six and retest, three, two, three, three.

10:42 AM

and that's likely what's going to keep prolonging this and keeping us sideways.

10:42 AM

And I'll eat this.

10:42 AM

Okay, there's two things they could do, depending on time. So if they were to do something like this and backtest, closer to the 149 period.

10:43 AM

Then they have a probability of trying to bring it back above the channel and keep it channel bound for the retest around two. Okay.

10:43 AM

versus if they stall right here and then take it, let's say they take out 3132.

10:43 AM

than they have probably a higher likelihood of pushing back and retesting this range of year. The sideways scenario would be very tight holds around 3, 6, 3, 8, but then we really want to try retesting for by that 48, 55 window. Does that make sense? So this would be the best case scenario for hour odds, because then at least we have somewhat of a probability of breetesting.

10:43 AM

7149 and 7151 by two o'clock period.

10:43 AM

I know this is very boring price action, but let's do our first poll.

10:43 AM

So good to hear you.

10:44 AM

lines on by, let's say the 2 p.m. window, it's not exactly 2 p.m., but some you want to read for retest, so many.

10:44 AM

133 all over.

10:44 AM

of new 130 tube failure.

10:44 AM

I'll set that for five minutes.

10:44 AM

Let me know what you guys think.

10:44 AM

I'm gonna put my board in.

10:44 AM

So copy me.

10:44 AM

This is a calculated time, it's not a flip, so.

10:44 AM

Whereas if it was a flip, you'd want to see the push around 4-8 but.

10:44 AM

is a generic flip for the market anyway, I think we said.

10:45 AM

Oh, it is a flip too. If 48 was a flip and it was a calculated point, right? That was the point that.

10:45 AM

I said.

10:45 AM

had calls once, I think.

10:45 AM

Yeah, it is.

10:45 AM

Yes.

10:45 AM

I'm gonna copy pasteator.

10:45 AM

and that was essentially you.

10:45 AM

based on this condition being met.

10:46 AM

I don't remember. I think 155 was a lift. It wasn't a joke at a time.

10:46 AM

208.

10:46 AM

I think was calculated. I thought I made them different color shades, so I would know the difference. But.

10:46 AM

Let me go back.

10:46 AM

Yes, okay.

10:46 AM

These were so those were flips, these were calculated times okay.

10:46 AM

So I'll mark the blips in white.

10:47 AM

Technically 148 is a dual, so it's a flip and it's a calculated range.

10:47 AM

208 was...

10:47 AM

also a calculator time.

10:47 AM

Oops.

10:47 AM

So this would be the window basically.

10:47 AM

between here and.

10:47 AM

I guess technically here.

10:47 AM

I said two, but it's technically two or e.

10:47 AM

Who is the flip on the structure? So because this is aligned with session loads, session loads are.

10:47 AM

right at session open. So

10:48 AM

Okay, for like the stated will.

10:48 AM

or 6 p.m. window, this is aligned with two o'clock. Does that make sense? This is what I think could put us at some risk you guys this afternoon, because this is a potential three bar reversal down that could play out. So that's another reason why I think that this period is very important. Mind you, we could stay stuck on some of these wider frames, like for instance the three hour kind of. of.

10:48 AM

conflicts with the two hour, four hours since this one could stay stuck till three. So this is a really good way of looking at this from a structural perspective, where I'd like the four hour.

10:48 AM

Lips out two.

10:48 AM

and doesn't really look like it imposes as much risk as the two-hour. Does that make sense? Because you're two-hour...

10:48 AM

is what could make a...

10:48 AM

like a bear flag down, okay.

10:48 AM

like this.

10:48 AM

from now until basically end of session, which...

10:49 AM

I don't think would be the case with what conditions what conditions do you think would have to be met before two o'clock to avoid this from happening.

10:49 AM

Oh wow, that's a lot more interesting than this. If you like fight ads, it's fun, but it's very boring sometimes too.

10:49 AM

So based on structures guys will obviously watch the 2 o'clock period, but so what would the conditions have to be? What did you guys vote for? 7133 hold. Okay, so majority of you think that we won't test 7144 and that instead will

10:49 AM

Back test 7133 by that 2pm 208 window.

10:50 AM

So I figured because of structural risk on much wider time frames, like the, for instance, that two hour, four hour.

10:50 AM

three hours, so on and so forth for two o'clock.

10:50 AM

To mitigate that risk, what would they have to do?

10:50 AM

I guess I have to start picking on people again.

10:50 AM

Are you willing?

10:50 AM

Hi, haven't seen you in a long time.

10:50 AM

What would you have to do to avoid risk by 2pm?

10:50 AM

or avoid that two-hour structure potentially from forming or happening.

10:50 AM

There's actually two things that you could do, but what's the more obvious thing that you would have to do?

10:51 AM

Right.

10:51 AM

We'll move on to...

10:51 AM

What would you have to do?

10:51 AM

to basically avoid that.

10:51 AM

Yeah, two things, the most simple thing would be obviously to retest 7143 7144 right secondary thing would be what sometimes you have to go lower right to avoid going any lower and to go back higher. So another scenario that you could have is you would probably want to retest.

10:51 AM

these lows to maybe make more of a star-type reversal, which is back to 7120 or something like that.

10:51 AM

Okay.

10:51 AM

that scenario.

10:51 AM

doesn't seem too likely because you have to kind of look at it as which has higher odds based on how much time.

10:52 AM

in relevance to range. So from range perspective, you're only about 2.75 to 3 points away based on this price point right here, whereas over here that's that's like a full

10:52 AM

22 points. Do you get what I'm saying?

10:52 AM

hopes to hear.

10:52 AM

in specific to.

10:52 AM

That's the 20.

10:52 AM

to 23-point interval that we were talking about.

10:52 AM

That would require some use, probably.

10:52 AM

Yeah.

10:52 AM

Well, we'd one of ideally whole 32, that's the idea. But this is more in terms of structure than it is price, I guess.

10:53 AM

because technically you could still take out 7121, hold 7128, and it would still be okay. Because it's still within those core ratios. Does that make sense? Whereas if you make a higher low, maybe you're on like 7122, 24, then that would probably increase your odds of staying stuck inside until three o'clock. Does that make sense? Because then you'd have like your three-hour, that stuck inside. So,

10:53 AM

I don't think either of those scenarios are as probable, to be honest, in comparison to testing 7144, but based on the fact that we tested at 117 PM and 118, but it's good to know what you're.

10:53 AM

scenarios are, okay?

10:54 AM

Yeah, it is a bit stronger than yes.

10:54 AM

to the mix and all this coffee paste is here again. But.

10:54 AM

What I just said, but.

10:54 AM

To me it made more sense that they'll likely try testing this area first.

10:54 AM

based on

10:54 AM

The calculated time is true away, okay? So technically, even if they didn't do it at this time, it's still okay, but.

10:54 AM

two, three hours, four hours structures, it would be in

10:54 AM

our favorite if they

10:55 AM

if they did actually test your before two, okay.

10:55 AM

That would be our best interest.

10:55 AM

I'm just glad that we saw this coming.

10:55 AM

That's reductions to got that 155, 155 was...

10:55 AM

the flip on.

10:56 AM

I set all the applicable frames.

10:56 AM

that are correlated to...

10:56 AM

fashion order.

10:56 AM

Which are these here.

10:56 AM

I don't remember exactly which one it was that was.

10:56 AM

Might have been the 144-minute, let me just start the chat.

10:56 AM

No, that was the one 12.

10:56 AM

That was also 112, this is linked to 224. Or that could have been off the 957 stall this morning, actually.

10:56 AM

Allfives.

10:56 AM

We don't will check.

10:57 AM

218.

10:57 AM

is 12, if you want, 28, oh, 289 for Automeric.

10:57 AM

This is 48 new one.

10:57 AM

Yeah, it was right off highs, that's the 155. So this is a pretty important time frame to watch, I think today.

10:57 AM

Okay.

10:57 AM

because this runs until session close.

10:57 AM

will in the event that they don't.

10:57 AM

break this back.

10:58 AM

the 218-224-R-Link to hive day.

10:58 AM

Yeah.

10:58 AM

We'll make these.

10:58 AM

green, so was out.

10:58 AM

So is this.

10:58 AM

action stick.

10:58 AM

was also linked to High of Day. So in theory, you could assume that they're trying to...

10:58 AM

avoid coming back to retest that and it makes total sense because look over they're stalling like these reductions would have given us the retest of 4344 which is obviously what you need to get back there anyway.

10:58 AM

This is partially why I didn't really want to stream this afternoon, because I figured that

10:58 AM

if they don't clear of here.

10:59 AM

at mid-session and they likely can keep the stock, and they could keep the stock literally all day if they wanted to.

10:59 AM

This was the secondary window.

10:59 AM

This would be basically the cutoff otherwise all of these are basically after 4 o'clock into session close.

10:59 AM

which basically just keeps us sideways.

10:59 AM

I think the range off of.

10:59 AM

R36 and 38 right now is probably similar.

10:59 AM

based on where they're stalling.

10:59 AM

Okay.

10:59 AM

It's probably cool. You could maybe just use that 4.75 that we were using earlier.

11:00 AM

We'll see you here.

11:00 AM

I'm gonna get the depends on how much you're willing to risk.

11:00 AM

I'm not really want to gamble.

11:00 AM

Well, it would also depend on which type of account you're trading and what kind of instrument I guess you're trading too.

11:00 AM

This would be the neutralized.

11:00 AM

This is where...

11:00 AM

I would say risk begins to increase and then again, this is probably where if they were to take this back.

11:01 AM

The 7121 that they could see.

11:01 AM

that increase in volatility.

11:01 AM

So $159, closing a $71.37.75, something I noticed here is that closing price was actually identical to...

11:01 AM

Where is the mid-session?

11:01 AM

Where did it go? Like just ahead of like 114?

11:01 AM

One, 15 was here.

11:01 AM

Verse 12, 45.

11:01 AM

here. Hey, do you notice this guys? Look at real-time mid-session. Look at the closing price there.

11:01 AM

Do you notice something similar here with the 159 clothes?

11:02 AM

What is it that they're doing here? And it's pretty obvious what they're doing.

11:02 AM

They're keeping this extremely sideways. Basically, what they're doing is, they're stalling just beneath 38, okay?

11:02 AM

Closing beneath there, still testing 4448 so it keeps slight odds alive, okay? Sustaining 3132.

11:02 AM

And then obviously just above that 20.

11:02 AM

21, 22 Mark.

11:02 AM

but this is what keeps you very sideways.

11:02 AM

in terms of price action. Does that make sense?

11:02 AM

Because 3-7 is, it's still above 3-3-3-2, but it's not quite high enough. I would say that you'd have to pull that least over 3-8.

11:02 AM

Okay, and they did the exact same thing at mid session and again here just before to a block.

11:02 AM

their only benefit is during

11:02 AM

session's mid-session, which is the 114.

11:02 AM

And this 118 period.

11:03 AM

They did close a bit higher, but these odds in here.

11:03 AM

there are more aligned to what point in the day.

11:03 AM

What point in the day are these odds here or more aligned to?

11:03 AM

for the clothes, right?

11:03 AM

So how often have they been giving us breaks after the bell recently?

11:03 AM

Yes.

11:03 AM

Fably.

11:03 AM

It's been on almost an everyday thing, but...

11:04 AM

From a time and price perspective today, that would actually make sense if they did do something like that.

11:04 AM

At what point in the day?

11:04 AM

would they really have to break range for that to be avoided? So.

11:04 AM

This period here is the only period that's giving us somewhat of odds, okay?

11:04 AM

in relevance to our high update and our low obsession, okay?

11:04 AM

This is directly correlated to

11:04 AM

session flows.

11:04 AM

Okay.

11:04 AM

That's everyone on the same page.

11:04 AM

for any sort of structural breaks to occur in real time.

11:04 AM

Okay, you probably want to break.

11:04 AM

max by like that median range of time.

11:04 AM

Okay, between the period of like 1.15, 1.17, 1.18 PM.

11:05 AM

240 minutes.

11:05 AM

until real-time session closes, which is basically two and a half hours from now, so the median of

11:05 AM

Or two hours and 40 minutes would be...

11:05 AM

And.

11:05 AM

80 bar span.

11:05 AM

So likely around that.

11:05 AM

238239.

11:05 AM

this period here.

11:05 AM

Do we know we have volatility around 2.30, 2.36, 2.30 a.m.?

11:05 AM

Yes, okay.

11:05 AM

what period in the day could they try resetting this from?

11:05 AM

Let's say from

11:05 AM

here until...

11:05 AM

close.

11:05 AM

And I'm specifically measuring off my 7121 Holt, okay.

11:05 AM

That's a calculated spa otherwise I don't care that that's the low of the day I care that that's that's the actual low for

11:06 AM

my ranges, okay, so 293.

11:06 AM

would be like 140.

11:06 AM

Yeah.

11:06 AM

six men interval or so, so probably like right around here, from the points in time that they actually started to break back range.

11:06 AM

Great, here.

11:06 AM

I hope you guys can see that.

11:06 AM

like right off here.

11:06 AM

This is likely at the point in time that you'd want to sustain structure by.

11:06 AM

Okay.

11:06 AM

and specific to

11:06 AM

353.

11:06 AM

The session close, I think we still have some time.

11:06 AM

That's 176.

11:06 AM

which would be right above now, okay?

11:06 AM

A hundred seventy-six and a half minutes is a calculated interval from these lowers.

11:07 AM

Okay, so there's some calculated flips here that could really help us avoid staying stock during the real time session. It's about 176 and a half.

11:07 AM

Okay so that would land right around that 205.

11:07 AM

208 window. We already had odds at 208 anyway. So

11:07 AM

This could help us in terms of trying to come back and break rage.

11:07 AM

And this is the only way that we could avoid basically staying stuck.

11:07 AM

in real time today. Does that make sense? From a time perspective in terms of both price and time, so...

11:07 AM

I'm just going to double check one thing too.

11:07 AM

Someone write that down so I don't go back and forget it.

11:07 AM

These were the earlier odds, which they clearly...

11:07 AM

Got stock.

11:07 AM

Obsession, it's closer to like 424 minute intervals.

11:08 AM

which is...

11:08 AM

2012 minutes, so that would have been around this period here, okay.

11:08 AM

off these highs.

11:08 AM

They're not really us.

11:08 AM

as grade of odds, but this is what could keep that window extended to that 236238.

11:08 AM

bar, okay?

11:08 AM

So well.

11:08 AM

2.36, 2.35, and then this was two.

11:08 AM

in the two way.

11:08 AM

If you watch this too, this is pretty cool, because this occurred on a 30 second interval. Do you see how, when they flip 30 seconds, that's when it came back and broke this 7138 mark?

11:09 AM

We're here.

11:09 AM

this is actually a half minute interval.

11:09 AM

So add higher odds of breaking into the last 30 seconds versus like the first 30 seconds.

11:09 AM

All in that break.

11:09 AM

My period of time was around two.

11:09 AM

208, so...

11:09 AM

At least they're trading this back above.

11:09 AM

71, 38, 71, 39, this at least gives you somewhat of an odd of getting.

11:09 AM

I'll retest closer to that too.

11:09 AM

I thought we had an audit to 12.

11:09 AM

I don't know why this thing, every time I go back and reset, it keeps deleting things.

11:09 AM

Two, 12. What was two, 12 linked to? Do you guys remember?

11:09 AM

That's it.

11:09 AM

Twenty nine minute and thirty three are linked to highs.

11:09 AM

21.

11:09 AM

11:10 AM

87 and pretty sure wasn't filled.

11:10 AM

here 18.

11:10 AM

Fifty-six.

11:10 AM

No.

11:10 AM

I think that could have been the median.

11:10 AM

between the 21-24 for the actual session.

11:10 AM

and whoever.

11:10 AM

I'm just going to double check all along.

11:10 AM

you.

11:10 AM

These are all the actual sessions.

11:10 AM

loads but I just want to see something.

11:10 AM

Well, I got this more in the rooms.

11:10 AM

They're mostly 224.

11:10 AM

arrange your own.

11:10 AM

12.

11:11 AM

just don't remember what it was.

11:11 AM

Anyway, maybe I'm wrong.

11:11 AM

224 is a multi flip.

11:11 AM

this is linked to hive day, by the way, these green bars are linked to the hive day.

11:11 AM

So I think clearing back over 3-8 at these calculated times.

11:11 AM

these times here.

11:11 AM

could really help those odds.

11:11 AM

Are calculated times usually your high stods of retesting highs? This is a trick question by the way.

11:11 AM

That's a huge reduction stick.

11:11 AM

Some volatility coming in, guys, especially out of this too.

11:12 AM

18 to 24 periods, so just be cautious.

11:12 AM

Sorry, fluffy at this point, I don't even know what you're asking about.

11:12 AM

Yes, for real-time highs.

11:12 AM

which are the high, okay?

11:13 AM

that's 205, you mean?

11:13 AM

because highs occurred in real time. Yeah, it was off real time highs.

11:13 AM

So.

11:13 AM

Well, that's why I turned on the mic, the scriptie thing, so at least it records, because just in case I don't write it down and someone else is rated down, at least the bot will.

11:13 AM

Yes, it was 176 interval.

11:13 AM

The session closed 176, I don't know, that's what I, that's what I said in here, so.

11:13 AM

I don't remember exactly.

11:13 AM

176

11:13 AM

There's 176 and a half.

11:13 AM

So it's like,

11:14 AM

think from there until, like, basically end of session or like session clothes.

11:14 AM

something like this.

11:14 AM

between that 205, 204, 208 window.

11:14 AM

Sorry, this should be 176.

11:14 AM

Hopefully that makes sense.

11:14 AM

I think.

11:14 AM

until this.

11:14 AM

5 p.m. bullet.

11:14 AM

I guess you could think that it's like 16th of all, then.

11:14 AM

Yeah, they are adjusting it, unfortunately, but that was...

11:14 AM

The idea for today, so I guess we can't be upset because this really helps our odds for the 21st, 22nd.

11:14 AM

and potentially the 24th.

11:14 AM

All right, let's do one more pull here since.

11:14 AM

you then clearly see some slight volatility sticks. Okay, earlier, majority voted that they would come back to 7133.

11:15 AM

Or 7144, both were wrong, because they didn't do either, or though they didn't go back to 3-3 and they didn't take out 4-4. So let's say by the 2-18-2-24 PM period.

11:15 AM

These times of day are aligned to hide.

11:15 AM

Okay.

11:15 AM

Clear 7144, back test 7138.

11:15 AM

I feel like that's probably the, that's probably it. I don't really think there are many options here. I probably should have put that out earlier.

11:15 AM

if you guys wanna vote on that.

11:15 AM

And these calculated times here were based on.

11:15 AM

the actual session.

11:15 AM

Okay, let's get some votes and you guys on that. So 224 is the most common flip here, but there are some odds at 218.

11:15 AM

When it's a flip, do you want it to happen before or during?

11:15 AM

Don't get this wrong.

11:15 AM

And no one else.

11:16 AM

Answer the question I sent earlier either are calculated times your highest odds of retesting heights but that's a trick question.

11:16 AM

I've asked it before and everyone bought it wrong, so I'm asking it again to see if you guys actually

11:16 AM

can pick up all night this time.

11:16 AM

No, they're not.

11:16 AM

Remove that thumbs off. Take it off now.

11:16 AM

No, it's not.

11:16 AM

Those are calculated intervals, in terms of price, okay? So it's not necessarily an audit of taking out your high. It's basically a period of time that's trying to decipher between your session open, session closed, session highs, session lows, okay? Yes, it could take you back, essentially, to your highs, but there has to be some sort of overlap, or confluence around that specific time with the flip. Does that make sense?

11:17 AM

you guys. So

11:17 AM

And that technically can give you like the odds of resetting right you can reset your open you can reset your laws you could.

11:17 AM

That's what those intervals are supposed to be for.

11:17 AM

Okay, second question. When you're, when you're testing at the time of a flip, you wanna test before or during.

11:17 AM

What time, right now, do we need to break out?

11:17 AM

right here, before. Okay, so what times do you wanna see a good stick?

11:17 AM

2017 PM before that candle closes here 7143 25 being retested off the 217 PM stick. There's a few flips at 218 that are linked to today's highs 220

11:17 AM

had the better odds, but I like that there's a little window hero of roughly five to six minutes, because it not only gives us an odd of taking out a 701-44 and testing it, but it gives us an odd of what?

11:17 AM

What can this help us have an audit of doing?

11:18 AM

considering we have.

11:18 AM

a four minute window here.

11:18 AM

our six minute window here.

11:18 AM

Yeah, I don't really know if I would say expand would give in this kind of market dynamic today, but at least clear and.

11:18 AM

continuation, I guess, at least two.

11:18 AM

or seven, four, eight, or something, yeah. Like, at least gives you some odds of getting.

11:18 AM

So I'm sort of here.

11:18 AM

back to like four, seven, four, eight.

11:18 AM

And at this point in the day, this is important because what was 7148?

11:18 AM

and you're obviously not going to get any breaks until you finally start coming back above your

11:18 AM

2-18 getting that break of 7-1-4-3-7-5. Still no clearance over 4-4 though.

11:19 AM

We'll see if they can take it out here.

11:19 AM

session.

11:19 AM

So these points here are also lying back to.

11:19 AM

Hi, so you guys see that 7.5? There's some slight volatility here, the only reason why this is okay is because we have the box range between 218 and 224.

11:19 AM

seven, one, four, four, being retested here. This time, preferably, I wanna see if they can at least try getting a four, six, four, seven, ideally, four, eight retests just so that they can give us some sort of odds of keeping

11:19 AM

Um, there's, uh,

11:19 AM

like not stuck in an inside range until after three, because then otherwise our odds are gonna really, really, really begin to reduce. Even if that means consolidating.

11:20 AM

Beneath six one and five eight, but like above three eight and four four like that will at least give us somewhat of progressive price action for the next hour, okay?

11:20 AM

Thank you very much.

11:20 AM

Can someone document that?

11:20 AM

So I want to ideally see if they can break some range here by like two twenty two two twenty three

11:20 AM

714675 is what I'm looking for in 714825.

11:20 AM

This was the area I calculated earlier this morning.

11:21 AM

What are the majority vote for?

11:21 AM

during this time.

11:21 AM

So this is still a little bit more progressive than...

11:21 AM

than these periods were, but are we still stuck in a channel?

11:21 AM

which is really what can keep us.

11:22 AM

consolidating basically all day today.

11:22 AM

We also opened in the channel, so odds of that happening were quite high.

11:22 AM

What would you have to break above in order for this to have the highest odds, I guess, of not staying stuck?

11:22 AM

M330.

11:22 AM

in the channel between let's say 230

11:22 AM

These were the times earlier, but...

11:22 AM

So these were the calculator times earlier rate, 235, 236, 237.

11:22 AM

I don't know why it got deleted again.

11:22 AM

Pretty sure these were them.

11:22 AM

What do you guys think, what price point, which price point would we have to be trading above?

11:22 AM

Two.

11:23 AM

I would say ideally before three in order for this to avoid staying stuck that last hour and give us higher odds of being at least in the means.

11:23 AM

Which price point do you think we'd have to be treating at?

11:23 AM

This was the cutoff period so it seemed like if they can do it as early as here, then our odds of retesting highs.

11:23 AM

In real time, our heavily increased, okay?

11:23 AM

50.

11:23 AM

One.

11:23 AM

2-23 testing that 7-1-4-6-7-5 spot that I was talking about earlier.

11:24 AM

This is where I have my alert set. This is a pretty calculated price point. I want it to basically see if they can test here. Then we have a decent audio guys of retesting our opening range off this 224 period here. Okay, in the event that they do that, I think it does open up our window a tiny bit for getting some breaks back to 71.51.52. I think just getting it out of the channel for the last hour, hour and a half of the days, what's gonna give us the best odds of getting the 71.51.

11:24 AM

or 58, 59 retest in real time.

11:24 AM

and any odds of getting to 71, 66.

11:24 AM

64 or 60. Otherwise, I feel like if they keep this stuck.

11:24 AM

All the way until here in the channel, then probably not.

11:24 AM

And.

11:24 AM

At the very least, maybe you could retest 5-8-5-9, but I highly doubt that you could get core ranges if you're still stuck in the channel between the entire period of 230.

11:24 AM

330, does that make sense?

11:24 AM

I feel like you'd have to have some sort of like progressive price action.

11:24 AM

So let's see. This is the odd that I had for.

11:25 AM

This structure break right here so far it's stalling.

11:25 AM

they stole it by people.

11:25 AM

We'll see if there's any follow-through almost immediately on the 2-5 stick.

11:25 AM

How important is immediate follow through if you stall by, like, let's say, 0.25, 0.5.

11:25 AM

In this case, they're selling by .25.

11:25 AM

Yeah, usually you need at least immediate follow through usually within like the first.

11:25 AM

minute or two otherwise the volatility can start to increase which?

11:25 AM

You can already kind of see how many here.

11:26 AM

230, 232 are pretty generic times of day every session, but...

11:26 AM

I don't really have too much conflict there. Do you see that volatility increasing here? You guys?

11:26 AM

On that point, two five stall.

11:26 AM

And it could be likely because if they would have cleared.

11:26 AM

they could have broken this out of the channel as early as.

11:26 AM

this period here.

11:26 AM

3.25 would probably have been a channel break, yeah, it is.

11:26 AM

I'm going to still watch the median points between 224.

11:26 AM

and 236.

11:27 AM

Well, did anyone write down why the 236237 were calculated?

11:27 AM

I think I might have sent them in here, though, along.

11:27 AM

Yeah, I did.

11:27 AM

So that's right here.

11:27 AM

That was the median range and time between...

11:27 AM

The first test of 7144 at 318 mid-session and 4PM close.

11:28 AM

So, what could this point in the day do then, if this is...?

11:28 AM

I'll just copy, paste her again. If that's the interval between...

11:28 AM

our mid-session and our real-time clothes, okay? So that 118 is not linked to real-time clothes. That's linked to session clothes, okay? What could that help do for real-time?

11:28 AM

Pacific to this period year.

11:29 AM

that could aid in.

11:29 AM

resetting.

11:29 AM

Oh, Mexi is here. Like, Mexi would be a great person to ask. Mexi, what would that do if 237 PM?

11:30 AM

uh breaks range and that's linked to one 18 119 mid session candles, which are linked to the 5 p.m. session close, but that point in time is directly correlated to 4 p.m. close. Okay, so that could keep your odds in play for real time.

11:30 AM

what would that have to get back to at that specific time?

11:30 AM

update.

11:30 AM

for your odds to be reset.

11:30 AM

otherwise the delayed.

11:30 AM

breaks all the way through to like three, 330 potentially until after real-time hours is highly increased.

11:31 AM

These were the median points in time between 224 and 237 36. So I just kind of wanted to see just how much range they would potentially reduce by break by. So far, that's reductions to get 230.

11:31 AM

I guess I'm going to have to ask

11:31 AM

someone else

11:31 AM

That's a pretty easy answer.

11:31 AM

opening.

11:31 AM

What are we trading below?

11:31 AM

Which happens to align really nicely today with.

11:31 AM

the top of the channel. Okay.

11:31 AM

What are you trading beneath right now?

11:32 AM

This is a really good session to get practice in you guys, because markets are moving slow.

11:32 AM

Obviously, we can't do this everyday, so.

11:32 AM

And you can already see from 224 onwards.

11:32 AM

When they stall 4, 6, 7, 5, 4, 7, 4, 8, you can see the very evident reduction in range. What are retraining beneath you guys?

11:32 AM

We're creating beneath opening range, right? OR, we're still beneath OR. We're still beneath the top of the channel. We're still technically beneath.

11:32 AM

4-9-4-8.

11:32 AM

So and this is exactly what they're doing. Like all these small breaks, you see how they're preventing this from getting back.

11:32 AM

to 61-51, 52, or 71-51, sorry 52-53.

11:33 AM

Yeah, it is a frustrating range, but this is

11:33 AM

This is what needs to happen for us to get continuation this week, so.

11:33 AM

Okay, so what do you have to do?

11:33 AM

bye

11:33 AM

the 236237 window. I would say, if they don't do this, then I would say 1,000% that they're keeping this stuff for an hour, okay?

11:33 AM

What do you think you'd have to do during this period?

11:33 AM

because these next odds are pretty late, like all the way through till 255, three o'clock, three o'on.

11:33 AM

For Real 9.

11:33 AM

Okay.

11:33 AM

So, what would you have to do at the very, very, very least?

11:33 AM

Give me a minimum condition and give me your ideal condition.

11:34 AM

Yeah, that's true.

11:34 AM

My style of creating those pretty.

11:34 AM

pretty advanced, like I don't think most people trade like this.

11:34 AM

specifically in terms of like time and stuff and try to align exact time and price.

11:34 AM

but this is a really good session to like study because markets moving slow enough that we can actually look at every single minute.

11:34 AM

Brendan, you're the only.

11:34 AM

form of hope in here right now in Fluffy. What price point do we have to be at by 236237 at a minimum?

11:34 AM

probably close to here.

11:34 AM

You think, just at least give us an odd resetting this, so.

11:34 AM

No, that's too high.

11:34 AM

That that's ideal, what's your minimum?

11:35 AM

4-3-7-5-4-4, do you get what I'm saying?

11:35 AM

That noble mom, you're on the right trapped, like, yes, I would say 4, 4, or 6. Okay, you don't necessarily need 48 by this point in time here. Okay, to get an a lot of breaking 4, 6, 4, 8, but you do need to be at least above these minimal ranges of 4, 3,

11:35 AM

Because even though they met them here, they weren't really quite above 4-4, okay.

11:35 AM

Does that make sense? Like, look at this.

11:35 AM

Look at this candle at 21.

11:35 AM

And 18, do they close a bob for four?

11:35 AM

No, they did get above 4, 3, 7, 5, okay.

11:35 AM

The two three candle, no breaks above 4-7, or 4-6-7-5.

11:35 AM

So there's basically a 0.25 reduction.

11:36 AM

And the higher odds were 1, 236.

11:36 AM

237.

11:36 AM

Okay, in correlation to this, this basically can reset this period that we had here. Does that make sense?

11:36 AM

because we do have an extended period.

11:36 AM

at 248 and 255, 254 that we talked about.

11:36 AM

to.

11:36 AM

So you're not wrong, it just kind of gives you an extension.

11:36 AM

Basically.

11:36 AM

for your flock, like this.

11:36 AM

the easiest way to look at it. It's not exactly three, but...

11:36 AM

That makes sense.

11:36 AM

Otherwise, yes, your odds get very, very, very high that you're likely going to stay stuck this afternoon. So far, they're stalling 4, 3, 7, 5, you're at 3, 6.

11:36 AM

And I would imagine volatility increasing here. There's some volatility coming in with some volume, guys.

11:37 AM

off that 236 it is a mid range stick.

11:37 AM

Let me just.

11:37 AM

pull up my news feed hold on.

11:37 AM

I don't think we've seen anything in the last few minutes.

11:37 AM

other than that last.

11:37 AM

Weed.

11:37 AM

which was this, this was like a few minutes ago.

11:37 AM

I could also be off by a minute or two, too, because I manually calculated these, but I figured I was 236.37. So, I mean, we could maybe watch for that minute of volatility.

11:37 AM

I would expect some form of volatility here though.

11:37 AM

Especially off like a four-four-stall.

11:37 AM

Hmm.

11:37 AM

Oh.

11:38 AM

Okay.

11:38 AM

There's also

11:38 AM

on numbers that just came out.

11:38 AM

Alan, but thank you.

11:38 AM

Bye bye.

11:38 AM

I weigh in the stream guys.

11:39 AM

The 237 stall, I don't want to be sitting here until four o'clock and then not get any sort of movement, sorry.

11:39 AM

Okay, I'm going to, I think I'm going to end the stream. I might come back maybe for the last half hour if we get some breaks here, but this is basically how I pictured the session working out today. And as you guys know, we're not going to see any constructive breaks until they get us back above here. Okay, or back beneath three three.

11:39 AM

two, two, so.

11:39 AM

And that being said, like any selloffs into the clothes would be back to our 70.

11:39 AM

799-7106-711010.

11:39 AM

any breaks above 5, 8, 5, 9 would be to 6, 1, 6, 4.

11:39 AM

Six, six.

11:39 AM

I figure that they'll probably keep us stuck in the channel today.

11:39 AM

Unless any sort of traction breaks, which...

11:39 AM

doesn't really look like that's going to be the case, unfortunately.

11:39 AM

I want to take a look at the two-hour rule.

11:39 AM

just because we did have.

11:40 AM

Okay, this is good because they basically tried to negate the probability of a bear flag forming by slightly taking out that four four high, so that's good but

11:40 AM

So at least risk is somewhat reduced, but that doesn't mean that we're still not stocking these inside ranges on a four hour, three hour that basically run until float. The only next window that opens up potentially is around that 248, 255, I think it was 301.

11:40 AM

and 309 window. Okay, everything else otherwise is implying that they would keep this.

11:40 AM

potentially.

11:40 AM

Range found this afternoon?

11:41 AM

Unless they want to save this until end of session today to reset Friday's clothes, like I had mentioned earlier this morning, if they wanted to do something like that, then that would be the only case possible where they could push things into the final minutes of the session flows and we can maybe apply the same logic with high of day, you know that three, four minute interval maybe if they did something a few minutes before.

11:41 AM

I'm gonna take a bit of a break.

11:41 AM

the 4 p.m. close, so like 354, 55, 56, which would entail for a very, very, very late day move today. Okay?

11:41 AM

It's our first, nice day out, literally all year, it's like plus.

11:41 AM

21 outside or something like that. And we have 30 centimeters of snow last week. So I think I'm going to sit outside, maybe on my laptop or something, since this is pretty slow. And then if I decide I want to do a end of day stream all day by snow, but I don't think I'm going to.

11:41 AM

All right, thanks for tuning in, and I'll see you guys tomorrow.

You

11:54 AM

Thank you.

11:58 AM

_ms_izzy disconnected

11:58 AM

_ms_izzy disconnected

Oh.

12:28 PM

I'll be back.

12:28 PM

qusay disconnected

Mm.

12:32 PM

It's a pretty boring, boring day, but honestly, it's...

12:32 PM

part of the game sometimes.

12:32 PM

Plug on the other hand at least got that 313 break. It looks like it's about to clear it here. I just need to turn on.

12:32 PM

volume.

12:32 PM

I did see some liquidity that came in after the 310, 312 levels, so that's a good sign.

12:32 PM

and

12:32 PM

A poet came back to 880?

12:33 PM

but it did not come back to 916922 it. It did however hold that 850 mark. So.

12:33 PM

I mean, that's the look at this.

12:33 PM

Aw.

12:33 PM

XOM stalled right off the 149th spot and reversed.

12:33 PM

that was pretty clean short.

12:33 PM

And yes, this is just stock, because...

12:33 PM

It just doesn't really have any odds until basically closed or after the bell. So my thoughts are if they don't get this back over.

12:33 PM

opening range and specifically...

12:33 PM

by the end of the real-time session, they're probably just waiting till after market closes here.

12:33 PM

And it's crazy because remember how I said that the 7144 to 48 is basically.

12:33 PM

The mid-mark.

12:33 PM

Like that's the area that keeps it.

12:33 PM

out of 50% odd, basically?

12:34 PM

Watch.

12:34 PM

off the little back to yesterdays.

12:34 PM

actual session open.

12:35 PM

but yeah, basically this area here is like the midpoint.

12:35 PM

and that area there is what could get us back to 71, 44, which

12:35 PM

could get us back to 71.86, but...

12:35 PM

Sadly, it's the median.

12:35 PM

Rage, so.

12:35 PM

That's why they're cooking for suck!

12:35 PM

Hmm.

12:36 PM

those serving in our basement.

12:36 PM

Basically this, all this reason that it comes.

12:36 PM

I feel like you guys might have forgotten. But anyway, it's a pretty big spot, like this range in here. And if they keep us stuck there, then it.

12:37 PM

it still can keep odds in play for like this whole range of like 70 80 to basically 71 81, but this is basically like the 50% mark.

12:37 PM

This thing was like the best

12:37 PM

out.

12:37 PM

linking the two put.

12:37 PM

It's basically between 7144 and 714, I just don't know why I put that.

12:37 PM

That meme at the bottom but anyway.

12:37 PM

This was the best way of breaking it down, okay?

12:37 PM

So 7144 is basically the median range between our 7103, 710 area and highs, which is technically where we opened.

12:37 PM

But in order to keep that odd alive, you obviously have to hold.

12:37 PM

Also like the median ranges.

12:37 PM

Of the your low is not just your highs

12:37 PM

So, between.

12:37 PM

You're right here.

12:38 PM

Okay.

12:38 PM

should be the four, four.

12:38 PM

And if you pay attention like this to if you if you make this 71

12:38 PM

88 you guys do you see how it's linked to like seven one four five if you make the seventy one ninety two do you see how it's linked the seven one four seven so our big big big spot.

12:38 PM

Open.

12:38 PM

is that 9-3 area, do you see how that...

12:38 PM

Okay, is linked to this.

12:38 PM

Area 71-02-2 open.

12:38 PM

median range is 70 148 okay.

12:38 PM

So.

12:38 PM

It could imply some zone entry breaks, based on where they open, but obviously they need to get moving.

12:38 PM

based on lows to lows, that's where you have the 50% holds.

12:38 PM

Okay.

12:38 PM

based on these very obvious highs to lows. And then based on highs to lows, it's a little bit lower than that.

12:39 PM

Hey.

12:39 PM

than highs to open.

12:39 PM

So the most constructive and probable areas in real time today.

12:39 PM

this is why they're keeping it stuck here.

12:39 PM

are clearly 7144 7148 you get what I'm saying and this is exactly why they've made it so sticky. Okay, so let me mark the 7193. I know it's not an area that you guys can see, but it's definitely our calculated spot, so I don't even have to think about it. Like I know that that's the calculated spot, so.

12:39 PM

Does that make sense?

12:39 PM

There you go.

12:39 PM

You're basically just...

12:39 PM

It's just your median range off your 7193.

12:39 PM

your highs.

12:39 PM

your open your closed highs, loads, okay?

12:39 PM

These are the ranges.

12:40 PM

Do you see how this is stuck?

12:40 PM

in between these ranges, basically.

12:40 PM

and it's pretty calculated, actually, if you think about it.

12:40 PM

Does that make sense to you, Izor?

12:40 PM

Not really. So like, we're not going to see any real progress unless they break 48, which is so obvious. Like, that's where they open the session today.

12:40 PM

or unless they come back beneath this 2122.

12:40 PM

And so for what they've done this afternoon is they breached it just a tiny bit below.

12:41 PM

and they're stalling just a tiny bit above.

12:41 PM

and this is what's keeping us stuck in the middle.

12:41 PM

between 7-1-2-2, 7-1-4-8, okay?

12:41 PM

and it basically would be rinsed and repeated.

12:41 PM

if they're to come back and back test the ranges.

12:41 PM

kind of think of it like.

12:41 PM

like this open.

12:41 PM

this.

12:41 PM

to this low, just open to this close.

12:41 PM

that there's a lot.

12:41 PM

of support around

12:41 PM

Okay, like the 7789 80 spot that we already talked about.

12:41 PM

And the officer is

12:42 PM

Probably the same from like the range differential. We already looked at this this morning, so I'm not gonna waste too much time But basically like the 4.75 points

12:42 PM

Above and below were they closed, okay, do you see it?

12:42 PM

this is this is what's keeping us stuck. Okay, this is your max downside. That's to take you back to Fridays.

12:42 PM

close.

12:42 PM

and you're just stuck in between. Until...

12:42 PM

One end breaks.

12:42 PM

That's kind of the range. How much range is that, actually?

12:42 PM

like with the actual range.

12:42 PM

Mm.

12:42 PM

Like 84 points.

12:42 PM

and based on where they actually went or held.

12:42 PM

that 75 point ratio.

12:43 PM

Did the 6th have the highest odd of having inside ranges sideways price action?

12:43 PM

Specifically, if...

12:43 PM

to start the week.

12:43 PM

We opened in those neutral type ranges.

12:43 PM

mm.

12:43 PM

It's weird to heard.

12:43 PM

Did this at least help you guys avoid day trading this afternoon?

12:43 PM

That's still a win.

12:43 PM

Avoiding shitty trades like this is still positive. I mean, we still caught that overnight long. There was a good short this short was probably my better trade.

12:43 PM

The long was okay, I did cover some in real-time off the 4-4 test off 2-2, but I ended up rolling them into the 22nd just because it didn't really seem like we had much odds but...

12:43 PM

that this help you with at least a void.

12:43 PM

Stings doc.

12:44 PM

We're premium burning trades today.

12:44 PM

So where do you guys think they'll pin this if they...

12:44 PM

If they don't take out either or if they don't take out 4-8 by end of session, where do you think they'll pin this?

12:45 PM

was pretty certain. I even said I was a thousand percent sure that if they did not break during this period here that they were going to keep the stock until basically the close and I was a thousand percent spot on with that too because I didn't think that if they stalled again at 236 to 37, there's no way that they could push this

12:45 PM

by three, it seemed very, very unlikely. There was a slight odd around 256, and they stalled. They triggered 714675, which is good, because this can still keep odds alive for the end of session today, like after the bell, but for real time, like range.

12:45 PM

was heavily reduced.

12:45 PM

Upper mid channel area, yeah, I would say like anything above.

12:45 PM

would be ideal.

12:45 PM

7-1-22, honestly, it's probably fine, but ideally over 7-1-3-8-4-4.

12:45 PM

Obviously getting back over 4-8-5-1-5-2 would be the best case scenario.

12:45 PM

we'll have to see you.

12:45 PM

what they do here into the clothes. So there's

12:46 PM

The odds were very late though, like they were right up four in like 355 56, so I mean.

12:46 PM

Hopefully, we see some sort of range break into the close year, even if it's back mini 7-1-3-2-3-3. Notice how they did such a crazy job of holding this area too?

12:46 PM

So, they're basically stalling every single end, hey?

12:46 PM

Does that make sense? You guys, they're not breaking above 4849. They're not breaking back beneath 71332 and they're not breaking beneath 71222. So they're holding the line.

12:46 PM

but they're not quite breaking a bomb, but they're not quite breaking back below. This is what creates sideways price action, okay?

12:47 PM

There was some volume that came in for like some out of the money call, so I wonder if they try pushing the close but

12:47 PM

It would be pretty hard.

12:47 PM

to get it back, I guess, to Lake.

12:47 PM

almost like the seven or eights, seven or nides.

12:47 PM

seven, tens, I like that would be kind of hard.

12:48 PM

So what do you guys think conditions would be here into the close before 350?

12:48 PM

Pretty good.

12:48 PM

Pretty common sense, I think.

12:48 PM

Thank you.

12:48 PM

grind. There is some cold flow coming in though. The last few minutes, so I don't know. We'll see.

12:48 PM

71333638 holds, ideally over 38, before 350, 71, 44, 43, retest, rate and clearance at the 350 mark. You probably need back over that 714675 by this 350-5556 window. Otherwise, I highly doubt that they can take out today's opening range to pin it flat, or at least pin it like somewhere, relatively decent in this area here around 515-2, or whatever. So,

12:48 PM

What do you guys think? Like, I'm trying to trade with other traders. I get you guys don't give any thoughts or any ideas.

12:48 PM

like on what you think could happen. Good call and peace.

12:48 PM

Eddie, that was a nice play.

12:49 PM

So I would say that if they can hold 3-8,

12:49 PM

Get back over, four, three.

12:49 PM

So.

12:49 PM

Kind of like this, four, three, four, four, retest. This would be the point in the day at 350, that I think they'd probably have to retest four, three, four, four, or they would be breaking that structure beneath three, two, three, three. Okay, that makes sense. It should be like a very...

12:49 PM

level type of probability between here, okay.

12:49 PM

and probably above the 38 range.

12:49 PM

What do you guys think?

12:49 PM

And then on the flat side, they would basically keep it right in between, which is keeping it beneath 4-4 and above 3-3, which is basically that 3-6-3-7-3-8, and that does absolutely nothing for us.

12:49 PM

This odd gives you the probability of pushing to back to this range here for end of session or like the final few minutes.

12:50 PM

Whereas this odd here gives you the probability of pushing back to two to two.

12:50 PM

two, one, for the final few minutes. I feel like this is very, very straightforward, but there is, it's not even complicated at all.

12:50 PM

So we'll see what they end up doing with this, at least if they can get us back, we're four.

12:50 PM

This is the 350 flip rate.

12:50 PM

So part kind of slowly.

12:50 PM

on the volatility break.

12:50 PM

We'll see you.

12:50 PM

The odds today weren't too high for 350, they were mainly around 355-56, so that being said, that could be a very big sign of reduction. Especially if they wanna maybe keep it afloat but not...

12:51 PM

not give us any major breaks does that make sense Brendan like usually when they don't push 350 especially if there's no flips around that time of day which today they're actually isn't they're mostly around 355 56 sometimes that's the case if they really want to reduce range so like that would mean like pushing closer

12:51 PM

these price points here, okay, which really limits your probability of getting any sort of breaks above your opening range in real-time today. Does that make sense?

12:51 PM

finally.

12:51 PM

So it kind of looks something like that.

12:51 PM

Oops, like this, this would extend here.

12:51 PM

and that would extend.

12:51 PM

Basically.

12:51 PM

here.

12:51 PM

So.

12:51 PM

Let's see.

12:51 PM

And if that's the case, then they, for sure, would have to try at least testing 4, 4, by the 5, 5.

12:51 PM

5-6 mark otherwise.

12:51 PM

That would be virtually impossible to get this.

12:51 PM

broken above in real time. There wasn't really many odds for real time anyways.

12:52 PM

what's the worst case scenario that they could do here?

12:52 PM

into the close for real-time.

12:52 PM

which isn't technically the worst case, it's just the worst case for daytrades. But it's actually a decent,

12:52 PM

scenario for pitting the clothes.

12:52 PM

you being here, like, which I know it's up, but...

12:52 PM

That's a very cannibal spot, unfortunately.

12:52 PM

So unless something starts to move here.

12:52 PM

There's a decent chance they could keep it there. Poet had a really good structural tool here into the flows, so I feel like that's probably worth noting.

12:52 PM

heading into tomorrow.

12:52 PM

This log is getting the 321 break here into the flows.

12:52 PM

2020 triggering on luck.

12:53 PM

We'll close that.

12:53 PM

Oops.

12:54 PM

All right, 354, we'll see if we can get this retest here.

12:54 PM

I feel like if they can test 4, 4, 5, 5, 4, that gives the decent on for the 5, 5, 5, 6, 5, 6 at the highest odds.

12:54 PM

for the session retest, so basically retesting opening range.

12:54 PM

but that being said, I feel like they would absolutely have to push the 4-4.

12:54 PM

and likely at least test this 4, 6 mark here.

12:54 PM

Okay.

12:54 PM

Did any of you guys take the plug trade even on the back test at $3? That still gave a pretty good trade.

12:54 PM

Even if you traded comments on it.

12:55 PM

7142 50 at 354, I don't think is quite enough.

12:55 PM

The odds were 355, 56, so.

12:55 PM

We'll see.

12:55 PM

What do you guys think just quickly? Do you think that they'll take out or test real time open in real time today?

12:55 PM

These are the final cut-offs that I had. I didn't really have any odds until after four o'clock, if they don't clear this area here by like 356.

12:55 PM

So.

12:55 PM

So I want to make it a bit easier to see.

12:55 PM

That looks pretty.

12:55 PM

constructive here. So plug you guys could go all the way to 360.

12:55 PM

four, four, one, four, two. The big areas on this are basically back to six dollars, but...

12:55 PM

I mean short term, I feel like the four.

12:56 PM

to 3.6377 areas, it's pretty probable like that's not really that far up. Plus the daily chart looks really.

12:56 PM

clean and they also had some news. Maybe it sees a bit of an inside range, but generally speaking, this is a very, very nice set up on this, especially if they pin the plowsier. So plug being

12:56 PM

test, 321 being tested into the flow-sure on-plug.

12:56 PM

I would say he's extremely calculated.

12:56 PM

Yes, stalling so far.

12:56 PM

There is the 322 break.

12:57 PM

Uh, 4.350 is okay, that's enough, I think, to at least give it an odd for 3.59 of, like, retesting.

12:57 PM

It's not quite high, but it's enough to keep odds and play, I would say.

12:57 PM

We'll see.

12:57 PM

Still, I still think the 4401 is the better window, but...

12:57 PM

If they pin plug here, I do think that there's very good odds for like the 360 377 continuation on this one this week.

12:57 PM

Yes, 7144.

12:57 PM

into the pose.

12:57 PM

These areas were extremely pitiful, so.

12:58 PM

there could be some news after the bell, too, just because there are some odds after close. So we'll see.

12:58 PM

Kind of depends on where they.

12:58 PM

Thank you Hannah, that's true.

12:58 PM

But everyone doesn't even see that value, they just complain about like the shitty price action. It's like, but you should look at the positives that you know to maybe avoid that and trade some individual names or at least know that now odds are pretty good for the remainder of the week based on how they treated it today.

12:58 PM

And I even said earlier around 2.30, 2.36, that 1,000% guarantee that they're not gonna break 4748 until around end of session today, based on what they did there and how they stalled. They could still push it into the close, but likely the final minute or two, which is.

12:58 PM

Exactly.

12:59 PM

what they are doing here. So 71, 44 and 40...

12:59 PM

six being tested here before 359, like I said, I think they're gonna try testing right at the session closed guys, 71, 47, 50 being tested here.

12:59 PM

and this is where they could maybe push 4, 4, 1, the flip I had today was 4 and 4, 1. So,

12:59 PM

That's what could leave it for final minute of the session today, basically. Okay.

12:59 PM

There is the opening range being triggered here, 714850.

1:00 PM

I fear that the area that they can get this back too is close to like five one five two if they can clear the channel channel over it is a seventy one forty nine fifty.

1:00 PM

They tend it right back at open. That is insane because that's exactly where they figure that they keep the stuck. That's pretty crazy.

1:00 PM

And so there's some odd that they can finally get out of the channel after the bell, but

camplin disconnected

I mean, it doesn't really matter for a real time session because all those odds were basically reduced.

1:00 PM

Um, I would say that that's a pretty good close 7148's not about close. Obviously they need to now progress.

1:00 PM

blog also closed right at 321.

1:00 PM

That's pretty calculated.

1:00 PM

Hmm.

1:01 PM

Unfortunately, that's it. I might wait just to see if there's anything that comes out here guys.

1:01 PM

after the bell, I'm gonna stick around for a bit.

1:01 PM

Four-nine.

1:01 PM

I don't have any more thoughts left for today. I'm done on thoughts, but I just wanna see if they, if they try clearing set, what did we see that spot was, seven, one.

1:01 PM

I don't remember.

1:01 PM

Seven-one-four-night, seven-one-four-night.

1:01 PM

What was the exact spot, though?

1:01 PM

Peace.

1:01 PM

Okay, so they have to get over 7149.50.

1:01 PM

which I think is where they're stalling.

1:02 PM

Yeah, they're still in just any thought.

1:02 PM

and that makes sense anyway, because that's getting above the channel, so.

1:02 PM

Okay, I think this was a good session, despite how boring it was. That's a pretty good close, at least it's above our 4-4.

1:03 PM

or eight spot, we'll see if they can now basically sustain the channel overnight to give us the odds of retesting that 7186 high tomorrow, ideally, worst case scenario you guys is if they don't retest highs tomorrow, the issue with that is what?

1:03 PM

The issue with that is that

1:03 PM

why is this not putting?

1:03 PM

The issue with not testing highs tomorrow is...

1:03 PM

our two-day flag. Right? We need to keep that valid.

1:03 PM

It's an issue if it doesn't remain valid. What has to happen here for this to stay valid?

1:03 PM

and specifically before.

1:03 PM

the 22nd because if it occurs on the 22nd versus before the 22nd, then volatility is going to rise. We'll have to happen here.

1:03 PM

There is a 7141 break.

1:03 PM

into the pose.

1:03 PM

What has to happen here for those to stay valid?

1:04 PM

before the 22nd, so tomorrow, ideally.

1:04 PM

Even though it's right now curly stuck in an inside range.

1:04 PM

what would help us get us there, which I know doesn't really seem very likely, but I mean there still is technically an hour and an hour and an hour and an hour but

1:04 PM

I'm not sure if Mark has enough momentum without news.

1:04 PM

Back over seven, one, six, four.

1:04 PM

but ideally you also would want to retest or take out the high for that to still be a valid continuation flag, okay? So not taking out the high on the 6th bar. It doesn't mean that you can't do it between the 7th bar period but that would heavily increase odds of volatility. Does that make sense? Because you're doing it too late. It's kind of like think about the minute delay or minute lay on the small time frames on a wider time frame. That would be the same thing, okay? It's the same sort of

1:04 PM

concept, basically.

1:05 PM

71 49 50 being tested after the clothes I figured that they'll probably wait to to get this out of the channel after the bill here I'm not sure if they have enough momentum to get this back over 5859 and pin 6466 into the actual session close here

1:05 PM

doesn't really seem like that, especially without news. But I think for tomorrow, pinning in the channel, as long as we can now avoid this overnight, do you guys think we've done enough digestion in the zone and channel today?

1:05 PM

That's a serious question, but yes, I think so. I think that this is more than enough digestion in the 70, 88, 71, 10, 71, 20, 71, 30, 40, so.

1:05 PM

That can help our overnight conditions.

1:05 PM

Okay, so now set the overnight conditions to give us the best odds for retesting highs tomorrow.

1:05 PM

What's your first condition?

1:05 PM

I would say 16, 7,1,20, 2, 7,1,3,2.

1:05 PM

Ideally, 7-1.

1:06 PM

Three, three, four, three.

1:06 PM

best odds are if...

1:06 PM

we can sustain.

1:06 PM

seven, one, three, eight, seven, one, four, four.

1:06 PM

and face above.

1:06 PM

seven, four, eight, seven, one, five, two, okay.

1:06 PM

Third, retests, seven, one, five, eight, seven, one, six, one.

1:06 PM

Friday, close.

1:06 PM

Take out 71, 64.

1:06 PM

And look for our 716671.

1:06 PM

Thanks.

1:06 PM

six nine areas.

1:06 PM

for real time.

1:06 PM

That's when you look for 71, 71, 71, 75, 71, 71, 78.

1:06 PM

71, 81, 71, 84. Want to build and base tomorrow, okay.

1:07 PM

Above 71, I would say 7175 to 7186.

1:07 PM

because we didn't really digest that area. Remember how I said that earlier?

1:07 PM

this area here.

1:07 PM

that area was never digested, if you think about it. Wake.

1:07 PM

I don't see any real especially when you look at it from an hourly perspective, like.

1:07 PM

Do you see any digestive price action between this range? Basically around 70-70 to this area here? Not so much. So now we fully digested this whole area here, like the whole zone and channel is now finally digested. I do think that they did digest the 58-69 area pretty good on Friday when they kept stalling.

1:07 PM

Do you guys agree?

1:07 PM

area here? Like, I don't think that.

1:07 PM

getting those areas there.

1:07 PM

it really needs to be digested, because honestly, they did a decent job on Friday.

1:08 PM

Okay.

1:08 PM

Let me move this down to five two.

1:08 PM

So that being said,

1:08 PM

It's mainly this area here, okay, and I think in doing so that's what's going to give us the highest odds of getting our targets.

1:08 PM

as early as tomorrow, okay? What are our targets?

1:08 PM

David.

1:08 PM

Yes, okay, 7192, 93.

1:08 PM

Those would be ideal targets, so it doesn't really give us much range, but it's still within that it's the same sort of thing It's that 4.75 offset that we've seen happen a lot today at a minimum ideally, you just want to get into the zone 889293 is better, but

1:08 PM

Okay, so

1:08 PM

If we are going to digest this area,

1:09 PM

what time of day would be the better portion to do it. So let's say we, let's say we finally break out of here.

1:09 PM

we test here, then we come back and start basing above 4-4 this time and 4-8. Finally exit the channel, test 5-5-5-8-5-9-6-1-6-4.

1:09 PM

Okay, start basing above 5-8-5-7.

1:09 PM

Okay, what time would you want to do this at?

1:09 PM

especially so you're not wasting your time doing it tomorrow.

1:09 PM

Do you see what I'm saying?

1:09 PM

not really required. Okay, so I think overnight would be the best point in time for that on a downside scenario, I would say that if they didn't we say that even if they still test the 60s and can't break

1:09 PM

This is still the means if they stall this area here which is like stalling Friday's clothes.

1:10 PM

you could still see volatility.

1:10 PM

to take you back to these ranges in here, okay? So don't forget that. That's still a potential probability if they can't clear the means, which makes sense because the means equals volatility.

1:10 PM

What could this end up doing if they did something like that?

1:10 PM

I don't know if we'd get a full reversal but we could probably get a delay.

1:10 PM

right, until the 23rd, 24th.

1:10 PM

they would probably just reset.

1:10 PM

And it would keep recycling range.

1:10 PM

our ranges have been super accurate at least, so I know for a fact that 70, 80, 81 is a super...

1:10 PM

and I know that 71448 is the mid-range, and I know that 719293 is the spot they'd have to break to see any sort of continuation and price action. Okay, does that sound good for everyone? In terms of overnight conditions.

1:10 PM

what we can look for tomorrow.

1:11 PM

Um, in the event we don't take out highs tomorrow guys, but then we don't take out lows and they keep us stuck inside. It doesn't mean that the set that the two day, like,

1:11 PM

Free bar can't continue but volatility would start getting a bit higher. Okay, between the 22nd and 24th and the 24th and 28th, which honestly makes sense because those are our bigger flip dates.

1:11 PM

That's where we'll start looking for the 23rd as an extension, okay.

1:11 PM

And then obviously the 22nd, but

1:11 PM

Any questions before I sign off for you guys?

1:11 PM

Good to go on. I feel like I sent a lot of analysis today, but not really for big range, but these types of days are the most important for understanding probability and continuation.

1:11 PM

because a lot of people this morning, you guys, did you read the chat?

1:12 PM

in here and on Substack, just based on general public. Like, people that are either new to the chat.

1:12 PM

free subscribers. What was something common that you guys noticed?

1:12 PM

based on what they were saying.

1:12 PM

What do you guys notice?

1:12 PM

was very common against the majority of the public.

1:12 PM

And this is what people don't understand. Majority of traders don't get this.

1:12 PM

shorting.

1:12 PM

And this is what I'm trying to teach you guys so that you're not.

1:12 PM

7,000. Okay, there's a lot of bears because most people just look at it as

1:12 PM

Oh, the market has to reverse here. It's been moving up too fast too much. But they don't understand expansion scenarios, timing aspects, okay. Structural aspects, like market structure, conditions that have to be met, these are all big factors of that, right?

1:12 PM

How certain was I that we probably were not going to reach us 70-80 today?

1:13 PM

If all of our overnight conditions were met.

1:13 PM

and I don't know if you were reading my conversation on Substac history with that one person on there.

1:13 PM

That was looking for a big short and I was like, you're not going to get that.

1:13 PM

and not today. If you are going to get it, definitely not going to be on the 20th. I'll tell you that, because all of us today are pretty low. All of us were super high that they'd keep us stuck inside.

1:13 PM

Yeah, exactly. But, so, and maybe go back and read that, because honestly, I did explain it super well last night. I don't know if you can scroll all the way back. It's quit a lot, I know. But if you go back and read the conversation, it'll really help you understand.

1:13 PM

why that's not the case, like, so...

1:13 PM

He figured that...

1:13 PM

We're likely going to see.

1:13 PM

Downside reversal. Okay.

1:14 PM

Okay, so

1:14 PM

There's a lot of factors going into that as to why that's not going to be the case.

1:14 PM

over bought and used driven market.

1:14 PM

That's not a good enough answer. Not in these dynamics, right?

1:14 PM

you have to understand, okay, we're also in a neutral opening probability.

1:14 PM

Okay.

1:14 PM

It doesn't fully lean bullish, but it doesn't fully lean bearish either, okay. So and.

1:14 PM

Exactly what I said last night and this was at like, I don't even know like 12 am I time or something.

1:14 PM

So.

1:14 PM

If you guys are here, at least try to take advantage of this, because...

1:15 PM

I talked to probably three freighters that are not in the sub-stack, all of them are bearish. All of them had the same sentiment. All of them thought that they were gonna see a big reversal today. That, and probably were pretty disappointed that wasn't the case. Okay.

1:15 PM

So 21st has higher odds.

1:15 PM

And bye.

1:15 PM

overbought as well. Right? Like, market doesn't care.

1:15 PM

If it's high, it cares about its structure and its price and its probabilities, right? So based on everything we've looked at, we still have probabilities for that seventh bar. Okay, seventh bar is what's gonna decide.

1:15 PM

everyone's in agreement. So you're not going to just reverse based on that. Okay, like with that.

1:15 PM

That's not how trading works.

1:15 PM

I'm just coffee pasting this because I think it's important that if you didn't read this last night, that you do, just in case you had any sort of thought that this could be the case, because this is, I think what, like a majority of people would, would think and I did say that, like, so far structure has been very decent. So these were all very good points from last night. Every single one of my overnight conditions yesterday was met.

1:16 PM

Every single one of them was met, 7080 held.

1:16 PM

Okay, 71, 10 was retraced.

1:16 PM

7-1-22 was retray, 7-1-10 and 0-6 held. 7-1-28-32 was taken out during London session. Do you see what I'm saying? 7-1-44 was tested right at open. 7-1-58-59 was also tested in real-time, and you can obviously see 7-1-22-32 held for the entire real-time session. So there's not a single condition that wasn't met.

1:16 PM

All of these things are kind of what keep you.

1:16 PM

within

1:16 PM

Like that inside range, but it still keeps probabilities.

1:16 PM

Not super high but at least relatively high for a retest, does that make sense?

1:16 PM

Like they can technically break beneath 70, 78 and stay stuck inside.

1:17 PM

Okay, but the only case scenario with that is obviously if they don't get back to 7132 44 getting back to 7132

1:17 PM

44 automatically starts to decrease those odds, does that make sense?

1:17 PM

in the sense of.

1:17 PM

reclaiming.

1:17 PM

this area here. Okay, so these are,

1:17 PM

I said it last night and I said it yesterday and I said it again this morning, like, basically this structure is what's giving our odds of getting back to 7140s. That gives us a 50% increase in odds of getting back to 7180s, okay?

1:17 PM

and we are technically correlated to 7188.

1:17 PM

Seven, one, nine, three, okay.

1:17 PM

and someone else came back and said, I think.

1:17 PM

71, 79 gets retested and I said again, go back and read what we just talked about, because in order for that to be the case,

1:17 PM

They can't do that without testing upside first, does that make sense to you guys?

1:18 PM

That could have been the case if they didn't even get to 7-1-40s, okay? If they didn't stall, if they stall, let's say 7-1-448. If they failed 7-1-22 and went back to the 7-99-7-106 structure, does that make sense? Like you can't just have like these reversals happen without any sort of like real structure that takes place or failures that take place. Another thing is is we still had room to 7-80, so you could have still technically tested the yesterday's lows.

1:18 PM

made a higher low or even a lower low and still came back to 71.40s. Does that make sense? Like, you might have not even had a continued downside cycle. You could have still held 7080s and went right back to 71.40s. So, a lot of it is kind of just relative. Like, it's not, that's not how trading works and I feel like a lot of people don't understand this. Okay. The biggest advantage that we have right now, you guys, is we know that a new zone entails what.

1:19 PM

And we had an advantage way before. I just feel like I'm being honest, you guys are not taking advantage of being here.

1:19 PM

until today, basically.

1:19 PM

And I know you guys are not you know why because you know how much of a trade this has been since March 31st till April 14th and April 16th and

1:19 PM

We've moved 700 to 800 points, and I don't really see any excitement from the majority, okay? So you guys are not capitalizing to the full potential of these trades. We don't get trades like this too too often, okay, where you get like a two day three bar off an annual range, like the 6349, 6388 hold, okay? We saw the hold coming as early as March 31st,

1:19 PM

March 31st on March 27th. Okay, so you had two days to prepare to potentially start positioning. Okay.

1:19 PM

We saw the three day, two day, four day flags forming.

1:20 PM

on March 31st, okay?

1:20 PM

And we knew that they could run through.

1:20 PM

April 14th if they start basing on the 6.7. So.

1:20 PM

I guess, like...

1:20 PM

Why are you guys not taking full advantage of that?

1:20 PM

That's a lot of money to be made, okay? And a majority of people I assure you did not see that coming, okay?

1:20 PM

You have to do a better job of taking advantage of being here.

1:20 PM

if you see the emails I get, the tweets I get, the messages I get, most people did not see that move coming, okay. So you're at an advantage, because you know the ranges that we're working in, we knew that we're working in 346 plus increments and that they could move 420 e-forters, 13 points each time, which they did, they did exactly that, okay. We even knew the exact date that they would retest highs, on the 15th you guys, okay.

1:20 PM

Okay, is everyone on the same page? I'll give you guys this at this constructive feedback, because to me,

1:20 PM

I don't see like...

1:21 PM

How you're gaining value, I guess you I could see the value that you're getting from like a learning perspective, but even then no one really participates unless I force them to so.

1:21 PM

You're not taking any trades and if you're not really trying to capture and fully grasp or learn this, then what would be the purpose of this to get them saying? So our huge advantage right now, okay? From the 21st through the 24th and the 28th is what?

1:21 PM

but I assure you the majority of people are unaware of this. Okay, what's the advantage? I'm gonna get water and I won at least 10 of you to respond, not 1 or 2, 10 to respond, what's the biggest advantage we have from today's date until once the end. The other traders are not aware of, okay?

1:21 PM

there's two things that we are in the know. Okay, we understand structure, time and price, okay.

1:21 PM

We also have her theory. So...

1:22 PM

I wanna see at least 10 of you. Give me the exact advantage that we have against the majority of the market. because.

1:22 PM

If you're here and you're not taking advantage of being against the majority of of traders in the market, which is that's who you're trading against, right is is other other traders other buyers and sellers then

1:22 PM

I don't understand the.

1:22 PM

I'm gonna be back.

1:22 PM

the basis of like being here just so that makes sense to me if you guys are not I want you guys to capitalize on these trades these are huge trades we don't always get clean cleared trades like this like quarter core breaks okay so

1:22 PM

in five minutes.

1:22 PM

If you guys don't answer anything, I'm not streaming a single day this week. This will be the last stream I do until next week.

1:22 PM

So no stream tomorrow, no stream on the 24th, no stream on the 23rd.

1:22 PM

no real-time analysis just the weekly report.

1:26 PM

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A transcript session was started ⁨4/20/2026 1:31 PM⁩.

Great. Do you know what I'm saying?

1:31 PM

We have to think further, oh, not just this week, it can basically come back.

1:31 PM

nest gate as if you avoid like exhaustion major exhaustion risk here.

1:31 PM

You're good.

1:32 PM

even if this were to, let's say, go red, like, let's just make a scenario because technically, the best case scenario is if this stays stuck inside, okay, or it goes, you know, back.

1:32 PM

Like this, or something like that, okay, then maybe you get a flag or an engulfing do you get what i'm saying.

1:32 PM

Lake.

1:32 PM

And maybe that doesn't happen until end of week.

1:32 PM

Or maybe they delay, or maybe it's just lay exhaustion and then they could continue. Does that make sense? It's not the worst case scenario if this doesn't go back green, but then you'd have to have some sort of like constructive price action and it would have to be

1:32 PM

A measure downside risk, like you don't want to go too low either within that time frame. Does that make sense, because you don't want to ruin structure and you don't want to ruin your annual range, you don't want to do get does that make sense, because at least if you stay above this, and you have at least a somewhat of an odd of coming back and, you know, getting like the 420, let's just go with 420.

1:32 PM

Wait intervals. Okay.

1:32 PM

Does that make sense?

1:33 PM

which can get you basically back to this 70 to 20s.

1:33 PM

I hope that makes sense, okay? That's from a range perspective, from annual range perspective. What about from the 100 point perspective?

1:33 PM

which is actually very interesting that they're holding almost exactly 100.3 here.

1:33 PM

So to do the same sort of thing from here,

1:33 PM

broke 100 points from these lows, you'd or clothe open, you'd be back at like 7200.

1:33 PM

what's our other advantage, that maybe...

1:33 PM

some people might not have.

1:33 PM

especially.

1:34 PM

I'm going to dry you guys some new marks, okay?

1:34 PM

because I feel like you might not have these.

1:34 PM

some new mocks could be maybe staying stuck inside.

1:34 PM

Maybe seven.

1:34 PM

eight, nine.

1:34 PM

and then the 10th for month end.

1:34 PM

This would be the decisive candle.

1:34 PM

Okay.

1:34 PM

Could a lot of people also potentially miss this?

1:34 PM

and specifically the continuation window, from now until Monday.

1:34 PM

Yes, right? Like that that could very well happen and a lot of people would be caught even more off guard because they'd be like what what the hell because they would maybe expect a massive reversal, right? That's why this period is so crucial because this is what's going to decide if they

1:34 PM

if they give us, like, a continuation and fully negate this from being a star reversal.

1:34 PM

and...

1:34 PM

getting like a bigger move down like this, right back to lows.

1:34 PM

because that could happen, if they...

1:35 PM

You're also a higher up.

1:35 PM

Look at that. Of course, they're moving after the failure.

1:35 PM

Back to close.

1:35 PM

That's good though, because that's gonna give odds for getting the reset.

1:35 PM

Where is this?

1:35 PM

Will this keep the session targets in play for that 6-1?

1:35 PM

and potentially reset the clothes, because if they make the six bar go green today, then it's really gonna help give us odds for tomorrow. Okay?

1:36 PM

But that would mean that they'd have to get it back over 6'4", which means closing closer to like 6'6'8". This was my target area for the session today if they actually kept pushing, but I didn't really have high odds for real time, so...

1:36 PM

they still had also to push after the bell, if they got in above 7148.

1:36 PM

Right? Because 7148 takes it to basically 7158 retas, which takes it to.

1:36 PM

7-1.

1:36 PM

Six, six, seven, one.

1:36 PM

it's nine area, I think that's what we said.

1:36 PM

this area here.

1:36 PM

Right.

1:36 PM

here.

1:36 PM

this.

1:37 PM

staying beneath 7-1-1-4 in real-time.

1:37 PM

we're still probable.

1:37 PM

we're going to real-time laws from occurring, but exception, the odds.

1:37 PM

on a 7-1, work four, 7-1.

1:37 PM

four, eight, forwards.

1:37 PM

I'm not surprised to see that.

1:37 PM

and none of you are surprised to see it either, right? No one in here are surprised to see 5-8-5-9-6-1 being tested in after-hours, correct?

1:37 PM

Yeah, no, no one is. Because we already knew that they were gonna keep it stuck in real-time, but had odds to push it in the after-hour session.

1:37 PM

And they could still pin these areas here. I don't know if they'll pin the 6669, but even if they pin 5859, I feel like that could still give decent odds for after the close and then that could really help our overnight.

1:37 PM

our overnight building and basing above.

1:38 PM

Specifically, if they can get it back to you.

1:38 PM

because this was durational tool, basically closed.

1:38 PM

what the last thing you guys that...

1:38 PM

That could help us.

1:38 PM

understanding that if if we do get to here.

1:39 PM

This is...

1:39 PM

max range.

1:39 PM

You guys, what is this deal for us?

1:39 PM

This is what could throw people off.

1:39 PM

especially between the periods of like April 21st.

1:40 PM

April 28 and remember the 21st is linked to the 28, okay? So what would be the best day, I guess, to retest.

1:40 PM

the high, even.

1:40 PM

to even if they test 7192 and come back down. Because could you technically test 7192 and still come back down?

1:40 PM

If you can, right, because you could technically make that higher high and for the zone and come right back down. We actually did that on what day was it where we tested the zone on the 16th member, they tested eight nine and then came back down.

1:40 PM

To 78.

1:40 PM

and then continue the next day, so.

1:40 PM

It doesn't necessarily mean that you'll get the full continuation that same day, but it at least buys you the odd until the 28th window. Does that make sense?

1:41 PM

which gets you the probability of how much range between that time break.

1:41 PM

Please you guys just just get this right. It's a very it's a very easy question, I think.

1:41 PM

Well, if you meet that condition as early as tomorrow, which is the best point in time to do so, okay, and that's going to be a bit of a 23rd flip.

1:41 PM

That can keep you extended till the 28th. Okay, everyone's in agreement. That's the condition that we want to try to meet on the 21st. Okay.

1:41 PM

That gives you an odd of getting an extra, how much, how many points in range.

1:41 PM

potentially.

1:41 PM

obviously thrilled to how much.

1:42 PM

like you move in that period of time because it's how many sessions. One, two, three, four, five, five sessions. So

1:42 PM

How many points?

1:42 PM

If you break into a new zone, how many points can you extend?

1:42 PM

100 points. Okay, yeah, so that will buy us basically.

1:42 PM

a potential golden ticket of another hundred points. From now until the 28th, okay?

1:42 PM

and how they trade that hundred points, obviously it's gonna be relative to how they move range and whatnot.

1:42 PM

So does that make sense you guys? And it would obviously be measured from like the 20th, 21st closing candles or even from lake.

1:42 PM

the previous high candle like, so it doesn't necessarily have to be exactly.

1:42 PM

seven, two, eight, but you get what I'm saying, right, like,

1:42 PM

Maybe to, like, here.

1:43 PM

Okay.

1:43 PM

because there could be some odds that they hit some volatility in between. Maybe they start hitting a form of volatility around the neutral zone.

1:43 PM

which is where price action could get a little bit long key, but that gives you an idea of play.

1:43 PM

what they produce in these ranges here.

1:43 PM

So we'll see where they pin this. I think, honestly, even if they pin 5, 7, 5, 8, that's still not a bad close.

1:43 PM

Power's time is even left, 17 minutes? Mmm.

1:43 PM

They don't really have to close here. I feel like even just in here is probably fine because they they have until tomorrow, but getting a five seven five eight pin would be pretty good, I think.

1:44 PM

That's who today.

1:44 PM

Yeah, and that would basically surface though.

1:44 PM

three bar continuation or something right, so where you could still have.

1:44 PM

You're six, seven.

1:44 PM

Eat.

1:44 PM

of the 22nd to 24th Expans, right?

1:44 PM

or I guess 22nd and 23rd would be the expansion.

1:44 PM

This would be the eighth.

1:44 PM

night.

1:44 PM

So kind of rolling into the new month and where maybe they might start triggering some volatility again on the 30th, first and fourth.

1:45 PM

May 4th.

1:45 PM

Okay, that's actually interesting too, because the seven day has alignment on the fourth you guys. So can someone jot down May 4th? I don't know, we haven't really looked at this yet, but...

1:45 PM

is the 10th board.

1:45 PM

Period and 70 flip. Okay.

1:46 PM

Okay, I'm gonna sign off, but thanks for answering that guys. I hope at least now you're aware of the potential scenarios we could have if they actually keep this extended through the 21st, 24th, 28th, and potentially up until the fourth, right? Obviously from there, we'll decide what we wanna do. Do not forget the annual ranges, okay? So from there, if you're someone that really, really struggles with understanding range, make sure you're tracking this, okay? And I already sent them last week, but go and chart this on your own. Go and take, I put them on the report, but you go and do this on your own. So then at least you know what kind of range we could maybe anticipate, does that make sense? Cause I don't want you guys looking at this later and be like, oh,

1:46 PM

How did we get that much range, okay? And I've mentioned that we could get this much range as early as April 5th, okay? So you have zero excuse, okay? So go back and measure the ranges. I've sent them in the chat, but do it yourself because then at least you'll have an idea of like what kind of potential max ranges we could hit. Or where like if the market really fully extended,

1:46 PM

like above and beyond the 800 point metrics, which are where we're hitting now, okay? And they actually took full range to the 7300s or something like that.

1:46 PM

there has to be a point where...

1:46 PM

Obviously the market.

1:47 PM

exhaust you get what I'm saying so and those are those are our annual ranges like the 7700s were my yearly target So if they actually were to get there as early as

1:47 PM

this quarter or something, that would be pretty insane. We are in the fourth bar cycle on the 11th month, okay.

1:47 PM

and.

1:47 PM

Obviously, the yearly, but I wanted to show you guys the.

1:47 PM

The three-month negation, that's kind of taking place.

1:47 PM

Okay.

1:47 PM

You can't really see it on the five month, but this is also in play, and this runs until...

1:47 PM

Um, basically, when I, I think when I went back and looked at this, I don't remember the exact time frame, but this, this was pretty important because if you go back and double check.

1:47 PM

Um, back in.

1:48 PM

Okay, I don't remember the exact date, but this you see this October 29 30th period if you can find the exact time frame that's linked to those highs like this is November 3rd, but there's an actual date and I don't have time right now to kind of look at that, but if you take the five month.

1:48 PM

That is what could keep you in play until basically end of Q2, okay? So five months obviously you'd be looking at like roughly.

1:48 PM

130ish days. I'm not sure exactly.

1:48 PM

what that range was, but I think.

1:48 PM

is somewhere in between, like you'd have to kind of go back and

1:48 PM

and double check, because it wasn't.

1:48 PM

I don't remember the exact range in the frame, but...

1:48 PM

somewhere.

1:48 PM

Somewhere above these ranges, like it might have been maybe off the Tinder of 10 date or something like that.

1:48 PM

just before it. I think it was the 208.

1:48 PM

Yeah, it was, okay.

1:49 PM

these run until October. Okay, so that is how we could maybe just keep seeing a continuous run.

1:49 PM

until basically our cues.

1:49 PM

for a period which tends to be the most volatile like September, October.

1:49 PM

And so on and so forth, but and these are mainly aligned with those prior highs. So this one here, I felt like

1:49 PM

Oh, this was it was a two hundred seven day, okay, and two hundred seven day flips on October 26 and it's directly in line with

1:49 PM

October 29th Highs.

1:49 PM

And that was the previous highs before extending. So one way that you can look at this.

1:49 PM

is.

1:49 PM

Maybe we'll back and see what other flips you have that are aligned with the 29th. Okay, I'm not really sure, I haven't fully checked that, but I'm sure that there are probably some, like I remember some November 3rd flips in here, but even if you kind of check that, like.

1:50 PM

some of the ones that were back in here, I don't really think that we have too many, but go back and check and then see what your median frame is here, okay? So.

1:50 PM

between here and here, okay, because this is likely.

1:50 PM

where market can either start really expanding or fully start exhausting, okay. And this is in the event that they fully wanna like break down range. So 252 was like 126, right?

1:50 PM

under 26.

1:50 PM

And if you want to make this a little bit more precise and I bet you anything, it's right around our April 28 29, that is, that is insane, that you guys that's crazy. So this is linked back to these these highs in here. Okay, and there is a big flag that's flagging that you can't really steal on these other time frames. So and that's what could keep us basically and play until

1:50 PM

You guys

1:50 PM

until the fall. So this period here, it's not just a small duration period on a two day, it's a massive period on a much bigger time frame. That's correlated to last year's highs. Does that make sense?

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And.

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If you want to measure between here and like January, that's maybe another way that you can look at this too, because maybe that way, you can kind of see, okay, well, if,

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they flipped there, that's 103. So.

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103 divided by two.

1:51 PM

Okay.

1:51 PM

is 51.

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0.75.

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like roughly in here, 103.5 is great about here.

1:51 PM

June. Okay, so this is why I was saying they could have continuation through June.

1:51 PM

Okay, for the rest of the quarter and potentially at that point is where you'd have some risk of.

1:51 PM

seeing the cellulps, and that makes sense, because a lot of these.

1:51 PM

Okay, more?

1:51 PM

Seven day, 10 day, a lot of them have like the continued cycles through then on the fourth bar periods like one, two, three.

1:51 PM

Do you see that?

1:52 PM

So it is something worth noting, I'll send this.

1:52 PM

transcript later.

1:52 PM

5-1 holds so far, 5-4 holds. I feel like anything above 4-4-4-8, like I said, I think is good. Getting a close above the channel, is gonna give us the best odds of avoiding it. Okay, so 71-48.

1:52 PM

7150 plus.

1:52 PM

Those helps us avoid.

1:52 PM

Good channel.

1:52 PM

Right, and we've obviously digested this.

1:52 PM

far more than enough.

1:52 PM

_ms_izzy disconnected

1:52 PM

Okay, I will see you guys tomorrow.

Thank you.

2:42 PM

I swear I just think this whole thing.

2:42 PM

sexual vending unconditional medians.

2:42 PM

in the hall.

2:42 PM

people.

2:42 PM

Thank you.

2:43 PM

but in my oral 30s, it's like, especially...

2:43 PM

Thank you.

2:44 PM

it's beautiful.

2:44 PM

And it tells us how it's been.

2:44 PM

Okay.

2:48 PM

Okay.

2:48 PM

I'm not even sure.

2:48 PM

Thanks for watching.

2:48 PM

Thank you.

2:48 PM

you.

2:49 PM

and it passes through the stomach.

2:49 PM

you

2:51 PM

Thank you very much.

2:51 PM

it's safe.

2:51 PM

it.

2:53 PM

was right.

2:54 PM

Thank you.

2:54 PM

Thank you.

2:54 PM

Thank you.

2:54 PM

Thank you.

2:54 PM

the train for the release end.

2:54 PM

that will be close.

2:55 PM

Thank you.

2:55 PM

I'm sorry.

2:57 PM

it by yourself.

2:57 PM

like the video.

2:57 PM

Bye, bye.

2:57 PM

you can't go alone.

2:57 PM

Thanks for your time, Mr. Chairman.

2:57 PM

I'll be it, sir.

2:57 PM

right to do.

2:58 PM

Thank you.

2:58 PM

You know, it's a little fun for me, for me.

2:58 PM

It's not familiar.

2:58 PM

you.

2:58 PM

you.

2:59 PM

I'll look at it.

2:59 PM

I want you to know this.

3:01 PM

Thank you.

3:01 PM

I'm sorry, I'm sorry, I'm sorry, I'm sorry, I'm sorry.

3:04 PM

Thank you.

3:04 PM

Thank you.

3:04 PM

you.

3:06 PM

you

3:06 PM

Thank you.

3:07 PM

Thank you very much.

3:07 PM

stuff.

3:07 PM

I'm sorry if you thought I was going to pick them up.

3:07 PM

Thank you very much.

3:07 PM

Thank you.

3:07 PM

I hope you have a great day.

3:07 PM

in the future.

3:07 PM

Thank you.

3:08 PM

Thank you.

3:15 PM

it.

3:16 PM

you.

3:17 PM

please.

3:17 PM

Thank you.

3:18 PM

all footage.

3:19 PM

you

3:20 PM

Thanks for your time, thanks.

3:20 PM

it.

3:22 PM

Thank you.

3:22 PM

you.

3:23 PM

That's it.

3:23 PM

I'm going to.

3:25 PM

Yeah.

3:25 PM

address the measures.

3:26 PM

to get my hold out of it.

3:27 PM

Come on in.

3:27 PM

I'm going to go.

3:27 PM

Stay.

3:27 PM

you said.

3:27 PM

that you serve.

3:27 PM

That's out there.

3:27 PM

Mexi disconnected

4:31 PM

This transcript was automatically sent to all users who spoke in the voice chat.

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